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NRC Publications Archive Archives des publications du CNRCThis publication could be one of several versions: author's original, accepted manuscript or the publisher's version. / La version de cette publication peut être l'une des suivantes : la version prépublication de l'auteur, la version acceptée du manuscrit ou la version de l'éditeur. For the publisher's version, please access the DOI link below./ Pour consulter la version de l'éditeur, utilisez le lien DOI ci-dessous.http://dx.doi.org/10.1139/L06-042Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, 33, 8, pp. 1050Engineering, 33, 8, pp. -1064Engineering, 33, 8, pp. , 2006 Possibilistic approach for consideration of uncertainties to estimate structural capacity of ageing cast iron water mains Tesfamariam, S.; Rajani, B. B.; Sadiq, R.Possibilistic approach for consideration of uncertainties to estimate structural capacity of ageing cast iron water mains Solomon Tesfamariam, Balvant Rajani, and Rehan Sadiq Abstract: Drinking water distribution networks form essential components of all urban centres. Water mains buried in the soil-backfill are exposed to different deleterious reactions, with the result being that the design factor of safety may significantly degrade, leading to structural failure. In particular, metallic distribution and trunk mains are subject to corrosion. Proactive pipeline management, which entails timely maintenance, repair, and renovation, can increase the service life of pipes. Several nondestructive evaluation techniques have recently become available to measure the remaining wall thickness of metallic pipes. In this paper, a previously developed analytical model based on Winklertype pipe-soil interaction (WPSI) is cast in a "possibilistic" framework to translate the remaining pipe wall thickness to current structural factor of safety. The WPSI model takes into consideration external (traffic, frost, etc.) and internal (operating and surge pressures) loads, temperature changes, and loss of bedding support and the reduction of pipe structural capacity in the presence of corrosion pits. Uncertainties associated with the input data-parameters are handled using fuzzy arithmetic operations and interpreted through possibility theory. A Monte Carlo type random sampling method is carried out for performing sensitivity analyses to identify the critical data-parameters that merit further investigation.Key words: water mains, pipe-soil interaction, uncertainty analysis, fuzzy arithmetic, possibility theory.Résumé : Les réseaux de distribution d'eau sont parmi les composantes essentielles de tout centre urbain. Les conduites de distribution enfouies dans le sol/remplissage sont exposées à plusieurs réactions délétères et il peut en découler que le coefficient de sécurité se dégrade de manière importante, en...