Urgent need for post-growth climate mitigation scenarios

Hickel, Jason; Brockway, Paul E.; Kallis, Giorgos; Keyßer, Lorenz; Lenzen, Manfred; Slameršak, Aljoša; Steinberger, J.; Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana

doi:10.1038/s41560-021-00884-9

Cited by 140 publications

(85 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…The neoliberal hegemony is not absolute, and our CPE perspective does not preclude contestation. In particular, this hegemony is strong in practice in climate policy, and alternative solutions are poorly represented in modelling [ 21 ]. But in the wider societal debate there are challenges to the neoliberal common sense, for example the Green New Deal or degrowth.…”

Section: Stopping Digging: Reducing the Risks Of Mitigation Deterrencementioning

confidence: 99%

Life in the hole: practices and emotions in the cultural political economy of mitigation deterrence

et al. 2022

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Negative emissions techniques (NETs) promise to capture greenhouse gases from the atmosphere and sequester them. Since decarbonisation efforts have been slow, and the climate crisis is intensifying, it is increasingly likely that removing greenhouse gases from the atmosphere will be necessary to meet internationally-agreed targets. Yet there are fears that pursuing NETs might undermine other mitigation efforts, primarily the reduction (rather than removal) of greenhouse gas emissions. This paper discusses the risk of this phenomenon, named ‘mitigation deterrence’. Some of us have previously argued that a cultural political economy framework is needed for analysing NETs. Such a framework explains how promises of future NETs deployment, understood as defensive spatio-temporal fixes, are depoliticised and help defend an existing neoliberal political regime, and its inadequate climate policy. Thus they risk deterring necessary emissions reductions. Here we build on that framework, arguing that to understand such risks, we need to understand them as the result of historically situated, evolving, lived practices. We identify key contributing practices, focussing in particular but not exclusively on climate modelling, and discuss how they have been reproduced and co-evolved, here likened to having dug a hole for ourselves as a society. We argue that understanding and reducing deterrence risks requires phronetic knowledge practices, involving not just disembodied, dispassionate technoeconomic knowledge-making, but also strategic attention to political and normative issues, as well as emotional labour. Reflecting on life in the hole hurts.

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Section: Stopping Digging: Reducing the Risks Of Mitigation Deterrencementioning

confidence: 99%

Life in the hole: practices and emotions in the cultural political economy of mitigation deterrence

et al. 2022

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“…All -• Production Management (PM) • Business as Vision (BAV) considers optimistic (increasing at 8.7% per year) and pessimistic (decreasing at 0.4% per year) (Hickel et al, 2021;Hickel & Kallis, 2020;Latouche, 2012;Lehmann et al, 2022;Petschow et al, 2020) demand of the finished product, with one, both or none of the PM and IMM strategies implemented. Percentual changes in demand were based on the annual growth rate of the industrial value-added of the OECD national accounts historical data.…”

Section: No Strategy Implementationmentioning

confidence: 99%

A system dynamics model for sustainable corporate strategic planning

Fernández

Acosta

Mayorga

et al. 2022

Prod.

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Paper aims: This paper presents a manufacturing process model for assessing the effects on economic, social, and environmental targets, given variations on corporate strategies of production, innovation, marketing, and demand for final goods. Originality:The model integrates economic, social, and environmental dimensions that are validated through three main scenarios: Business as Usual (no strategic application), Business as Investment (strategic application), and Business as Vision (changes in demand). Research method:The model estimates the social, environmental, and economic performance through time based on the System Dynamics methodology. Main findings:The results demonstrate the model's suitability as a decision-support tool for sustainability planning in a corporate environment. Implications for theory and practice:The model facilitates the analysis of the effects of resource allocation on corporate strategy.

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“…Others rely instead on the assumption that productivity improvements will drive an unprecedented decoupling of GDP from energy use. But scientists have questioned both of these approaches (Hickel, Brockway et al, 2021). Scaling BECCS raises serious concerns about land use, water depletion, deforestation, biodiversity loss, and constraints on global food supply (Creutzig et al, 2021); direct air capture, for its part, would require up to 70% of today's total global energy output (Realmonte et al, 2019).…”

Section: Hoping For "Green Growth" Is Not a Reasonable Responsementioning

confidence: 99%

Can we live within environmental limits and still reduce poverty? Degrowth or decoupling?

Hickel¹,

Hallegatte²

2021

Development Policy Review

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Economic growth has resulted in a twin crisis of climate change and environmental breakdown, while millions still live in poverty, a third crisis. Is it possible to resolve all three, or are there trade-offs? Can the crises be tackled by environmental and social policies within the logic of the existing economic system, or is a new paradigm required that rejects GDP growth as an objective?This debate brings together two discussants in three rounds of conversation, to propose, test, and challenge each other's ideas.

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Urgent need for post-growth climate mitigation scenarios

Cited by 140 publications

References 30 publications

Life in the hole: practices and emotions in the cultural political economy of mitigation deterrence

Life in the hole: practices and emotions in the cultural political economy of mitigation deterrence

A system dynamics model for sustainable corporate strategic planning

Can we live within environmental limits and still reduce poverty? Degrowth or decoupling?

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