Using co-production to improve the appropriate use of sub-seasonal forecasts in Africa

Hirons, Linda; Thompson, Elisabeth Morgan; Dione, Cheikh; Indasi, Victor S.; Kilavi, Mary; Nkiaka, Elias; Talib, Joshua; Visman, Emma; Adefisan, Elijah A.; Andrade, Felipe M. de; Ashong, Jesse; Mwesigwa, Jasper Batureine; Boult, Victoria L.; Diédhiou, Tidiane; Konte, Oumar; Gudoshava, Masilin; Kiptum, Chris; Amoah, Richmond Konadu; Lamptey, Benjamin; Lawal, Kamoru A.; Muita, Richard; Nzekwu, Richard; Nying’uro, Patricia; Ochieng, Willis; Olaniyan, Eniola; Opoku, Nana Kofi; Endris, Hussen Seid; Segele, Zewdu T.; Igri, P. Moudi; Mwangi, Emmah; Woolnough, Steven J.

doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100246

Cited by 23 publications

(23 citation statements)

References 45 publications

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“…Local community‐focused CIS interventions in different regions in Africa have sought to make climate information accessible and usable through coproduction and supporting users of climate information (e.g. government representatives and local communities) to uptake probabilistic climate information (Ziervogel et al., 2010) as well as sub‐seasonal forecasts (Hirons et al., 2021). Other local community‐focused CIS informs critical aspects of CRM such as early warning for droughts and floods (Hansen et al., 2007; Sheffield et al., 2014).…”

Section: Status Of Holistic Cis In Africamentioning

confidence: 99%

Develop medium‐ to long‐term climate information services to enhance comprehensive climate risk management in Africa

et al. 2023

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Increasing climate change risks in Africa, emerging from global warming and their interaction with non‐climate risks such as market, have increased the need for comprehensive Climate Risk Management (CRM) that considers both climatic and non‐climatic risks and enables actions that address the underlying drivers of vulnerability to these risks. However, comprehensive CRM requires holistic Climate Information Services (CIS), that is, CIS that balances between components focused on provision of short‐ and long‐term climate information for both local and non‐local decision makers. In this article, we ask: to what extent is CIS in Africa holistic? We review recent and ongoing CIS interventions in Africa to determine whether a balance of components between short‐ and long‐term CIS for local and non‐local decision makers is achieved for holistic CIS. We find a focus on provision of short‐term, that is, Sub‐Seasonal‐to‐Seasonal (S2S) CIS for local and non‐local decision makers, with limited focus on medium‐ to long‐term (MLT) CIS, particularly MLT CIS for local decision makers which represents the biggest gap to achieving holistic CIS in Africa. We present a supported case that ensuring holistic CIS in Africa will require a portfolio‐based approach to CIS development, particularly focusing on MLT CIS for local decision makers. We further highlight the need for integration of this MLT CIS for local decision makers into existing CIS. Achieving this will require: (a) experimentation and innovation with different CIS formats, products and timeframes to enable learning and flexibility to achieve desired goals; (b) capacity development of producers and consumers of climate information to ensure that they have the skills and expertise to understand and generate, and articulate needs and consume MLT CIS respectively; and (c) coordinated allocation of financial resources to ensure that all components of the holistic CIS are advanced.

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Section: Status Of Holistic Cis In Africamentioning

confidence: 99%

Develop medium‐ to long‐term climate information services to enhance comprehensive climate risk management in Africa

et al. 2023

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“…The GCRF African SWIFT project was a £9 million initiative aimed at delivering a step change in African weather forecasting capability across hourly to seasonal timescales, as well as building capability to continue forecasting improvements (Parker et al, 2022). A major activity within African SWIFT was a two-year sub-seasonal forecasting testbed (Hirons et al, 2021a). A forecasting testbed is a forum where prototype forecast products are operationally trialled The SWIFT sub-seasonal forecasting testbed started with a kick-off workshop in Ngong, Kenya, in November 2019.…”

Section: The African Swift Project and Sub-seasonal Forecasting Testb...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Weather, Vol. 78, no. 5, May 2023, pp. 122‐156

2023

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“…The Science for Weather Information and Forecasting Techniques (SWIFT) project aimed to promote sustainable science and capacity building across Africa (Parker et al, 2021). Within the project there was a two-year S2S forecasting testbed (Hirons et al, 2021) which aims to co-produce real-time S2S forecast products to support decision making processes in sectors such as agriculture, energy, health, and disaster risk reduction. The S2S forecasting testbed was a forum where prototype forecast products were co-produced and operationally trialled in realtime.…”

Section: Co-production Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The SWIFT S2S forecasting testbed took advantage of the S2S Real-time Pilot Project (Vitart and Robertson (2018) and developed a coproduction process to deliver useful, actionable weather and climate information services to key users. The co-production framework allowed country and regional level discussions between forecaster producers, scientists, and forecast users on co-exploring needs, co-developing solutions, co-delivering solutions and forecast evaluation (Carter et al, 2019, Hirons et al, 2021. In this context, ACMAD, a pan-African institution and partner of the SWIFT project promotes the use of these data to deliver real-time climate information to key users.…”

Section: Co-production Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

Improved sub-seasonal forecasts to support preparedness action for meningitis outbreak in Africa

et al. 2022

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Using co-production to improve the appropriate use of sub-seasonal forecasts in Africa

Cited by 23 publications

References 45 publications

Develop medium‐ to long‐term climate information services to enhance comprehensive climate risk management in Africa

Develop medium‐ to long‐term climate information services to enhance comprehensive climate risk management in Africa

Weather, Vol. 78, no. 5, May 2023, pp. 122‐156

Improved sub-seasonal forecasts to support preparedness action for meningitis outbreak in Africa

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