Using panel data to estimate the effect of rainfall shocks on smallholders food security and vulnerability in rural Ethiopia

Demeke, Abera Birhanu; Keil, Alwin; Zeller, Manfred

doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9994-3

Cited by 178 publications

(142 citation statements)

References 25 publications

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“…Climatic variations of this extent will have a negative implication on the water resources, agriculture, human health, coastal development, tourism, and biodiversity (WWF, 2006). Due to various climate risks, East Africa is one of the most food-insecure regions of the continent (Slegers and Stroosnijder, 2008, Demeke et al, 2011, Gray and Mueller, 2012. The high dependence on rain-fed agriculture in these areas results in a quasi-linear relationship between grain yields, seasonal rainfall recipients, and food deficits (Funk et al, 2008).…”

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confidence: 99%

“…The high dependence on rain-fed agriculture in these areas results in a quasi-linear relationship between grain yields, seasonal rainfall recipients, and food deficits (Funk et al, 2008). Specifically, in Ethiopia, chronic food insecurity affects 10% of the population; even in average rainfall years these households cannot meet their food needs and rely partly on food assistance (Fraser, 2007, Demeke et al, 2011.…”

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confidence: 99%

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Climatic variations, trends and drought frequency in Dejen District, Nile Basin of Ethiopia

Amare¹,

Ayoade²,

Adelekan³

et al. 2018

Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management

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confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Climatic variations, trends and drought frequency in Dejen District, Nile Basin of Ethiopia

Amare¹,

Ayoade²,

Adelekan³

et al. 2018

Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management

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“…There is an emerging consensus that climate variability and extreme weather events are among the major risk factors affecting agricultural production and food security in Sub-Saharan Africa [1][2][3][4]. The effect is particularly pronounced in the rural households of developing countries, such as Ethiopia, where the capacity to cope off the adverse effect is low [2,5].…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The effect is particularly pronounced in the rural households of developing countries, such as Ethiopia, where the capacity to cope off the adverse effect is low [2,5]. The dynamics of climate change also execrate other issues, such as deforestation, land degradation and depletion of water resources that further complicating the challenge of food security [6].…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Studies have been undertaken to measure the extent of food insecurity in Ethiopia [14][15][16][17][18][19][20]. The studies on food insecurity analyzed the demographic, socio-economic and institutional factors that affect food security, but failed to address the climate factors that are believed to affect food security [2]. This presents an important limitation, since household food security is dictated by a host of environmental factors, in combination with socio-economic and institutional factors.…”

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Assessment of Household Food Security in the Face of Climate Change and Variability in the Upper Blue-Nile of Ethiopia

Amare¹,

Simane²

2017

JAST-B

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It is widely recognized that climate variability and frequent droughts resulting from El-Nino phenomenon are among the major risk factors affecting agricultural production that might contribute to hunger and food insecurity in East Africa in general and Ethiopia in particular. The objectives of the present study were to examine the food security status and determinants of household food security among 442 randomly selected households in the Muger sub-basin of the Blue-Nile basin using household survey, focus group discussion (FGD) and key informant interview data collection methods. Both descriptive statistics (mean, chi-square test and t-test) and binary logit econometric model were used to analyze the data. The results showed that 57.8% of the households are food secure, while the remaining 42.2% of the households are food insecure. The binary logit regression results revealed that adoption of soil conservation, small-scale irrigation and employing different agronomic practices are important factors influencing household food security. Moreover, land holding and livestock ownership positively and significantly affected household's food security. The results further showed that family size and distance to the nearest market are important factors affecting food security in the inverse direction. The results highlighted careful investments on sustainable land management practices and small-scale irrigation that reduced sensitivity and increased the adaptive capacity of smallholder farmers to the adverse effect of climate change and variability. This study further highlighted the significance of livestock ownership and landholding in attaining food security under changing climate. The findings call for action based on advocacy family planning to curb population growth and invest in creating functional value-chain that help farmers' viable market for their produces.

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Smallholder farmers expand production area of the perennial crop enset as a climate coping strategy in a drought‐prone indigenous agrisystem

Chase

Büchi

Rodenburg

et al. 2022

Plants People Planet

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Societal Impact StatementClimate resilient crops will become increasingly important, especially in regions where smallholder farmers are vulnerable to climate extremes. Enset, a multipurpose perennial staple crop consumed by over 20 million people in Ethiopia, purportedly provides food security during periods of drought. Here, we find evidence that frequent severe drought events led to an increase in enset production area. This is consistent with a broader pattern whereby farmers preferentially cultivate perennial and storable crops after long-term drought events, providing an example of adaptation to fluctuations in climate through crop choice in indigenous agrisystems. Summary• Smallholder farms in the semiarid and subhumid tropics are particularly vulnerable to increased climate variability. Indigenous agrisystems that have co-evolved with climate variability may have developed resilience strategies. In the Southwest Ethiopian Highlands, agrisystems are dominated by the multipurpose perennial staple enset (Ensete ventricosum), characterised by flexible harvest timing, high yield, long storage, and putative drought tolerance, earning it the name 'the tree against hunger'.• We tested three hypotheses using crop production area and climate data. First, that enset production area is greatest in the most drought-prone locations.Second, that farmers respond to drought events by increasing enset production area. And third, that drought encourages shifts in agrisystem composition more widely towards perennial or storable crops.

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Using panel data to estimate the effect of rainfall shocks on smallholders food security and vulnerability in rural Ethiopia

Cited by 178 publications

References 25 publications

Climatic variations, trends and drought frequency in Dejen District, Nile Basin of Ethiopia

Climatic variations, trends and drought frequency in Dejen District, Nile Basin of Ethiopia

Assessment of Household Food Security in the Face of Climate Change and Variability in the Upper Blue-Nile of Ethiopia

Smallholder farmers expand production area of the perennial crop enset as a climate coping strategy in a drought‐prone indigenous agrisystem

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