Using scenarios for roadmapping: The case of clean production

Sarıtas, Ozcan; Aylen, Jonathan

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2010.03.003

Cited by 117 publications

(76 citation statements)

References 49 publications

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“…The critical analysis of the existing published works of authors such as Daim et al (2012), Caetano, Amaral (2011), Ahlqvist et al (2012), Saritas, Aylen (2010), Eerola, Miles (2011), Lee et al (2012) also confirms the authors' observations in that respect. However, in the existing published works, the authors of this article have not come across a publication which at the same time offers best practices of the method application as well as useful guidelines for its possible practitioners.…”

Section: Introductionsupporting

confidence: 78%

Roadmapping in Polish Foresight Initiatives – Best Practices

Kononiuk

Gudanowska

2016

9th International Scientific Conference “Business and Management 2016”

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Abstract. The aim of the article is to present the best practices of technology roadmapping application to the Polish foresight initiatives. The first part of the article is devoted to presentation of the conceptualisation of the best practices for the context of foresight studies and serves as the proposal of the possible criteria of technology roadmapping method benchmarking. In the second part of the article, there have been presented the results of technology roadmapping evaluation in the context of Polish foresight initiatives with the special emphasis on the best practices. The final part of the article offers recommendations for technology roadmapping application to foresight studies.

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Section: Introductionsupporting

confidence: 78%

Roadmapping in Polish Foresight Initiatives – Best Practices

Kononiuk

Gudanowska

2016

9th International Scientific Conference “Business and Management 2016”

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“…In reality, each scenario exercise is a mixture of different modes and practice is shaped by the image(s) of the future and the techniques applied. Combinations of techniques are possible and found in our case studies and in literature (see for instance Postma &Liebl, 2005 andSaritas &Aylen, 2010). However to strengthen the enablers for innovation, the link between practice and theory, represented via the modes of futures thinking should be acknowledged when designing and implementing future scenario exercises.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 76%

“…Roadmaps directed towards a single target are likely to be inappropriate where policy intervention may direct technology towards a different trajectory altogether (Saritas & Aylen, 2010;Ricard and Borch, 2011). The innovation potential of the scenarios can be strengthened through broadening the system boundaries and enriching the future images.…”

Section: Back-casting From Targetsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future scenarios to inspire innovation

Smedt

Borch

Fuller

2013

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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In recent years and accelerated by the economic and financial crisis, complex global issues have moved to the forefront of policy making. These grand challenges require policy makers to address a variety of interrelated issues, which are built upon yet uncoordinated and dispersed bodies of knowledge. Due to the social dynamics of innovation, new socio-technical subsystems are emerging, however there is lack of exploitation of innovative solutions. In this paper we argue that issues of how knowledge is represented can have a part in this lack of exploitation. For example, when drivers of change are not only multiple but also mutable, it is not sensible to extrapolate the future from data and relationships of the past. This paper investigates ways in which futures thinking can be used as a tool for inspiring actions and structures that address the grand challenges. By analysing several scenario cases, elements of good practice and principles on how to strengthen innovation systems through future scenarios are identified. This is needed because innovation itself needs to be oriented along more sustainable pathways enabling transformations of socio-technical systems. Highlights-Grand challenges bringing the social dimension of innovation in the picture -Investigating the role for futures thinking and scenarios to inspire innovation -Future scenarios as a tool for orienting innovation systems

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“…Paradoxically, the flexibility it preconizes is often mentioned as one of the disadvantages of employing such technology management tool, since there are no clearly established procedures for the approach and its application may lead to poor results in specific organisations (Carvalho et al, 2013). The limitations of technology roadmapping are: 1) more normative and less exploratory, 2) encourages linear and isolated thinking, 3) difficult to disseminate (Saritas and Aylen, 2010), 4) difficult to evaluate business value, 5) to express a business attractiveness of R&D outputs, 6) to express a business system or operation model (Abe et al, 2009) and 7) to customize the process (Lee and Park, 2005), 8) provides little guidelines, 9) lacks reliability, objectivity (Lee et al, 2009), focus and clear boundaries (Fenwick et al, 2009).…”

Section: Technology Roadmappingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Design Thinking and Product Roadmapping in the Fourth Industrial Revolution

Leal

2018

RISUS

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: The paper employs the combination of design thinking and product mapping approaches for building key skills and capabilities for technology management during the Fourth Industrial Revolution. It presents an overview of the literature of these two approaches, showing a gap in research that proposes their combination. It defines technology roadmapping planning as a human-centred complex problem and proposes a simple three-step sequence to assess when design thinking is applicable. The paper presents the results of using this approach in a business unit in a private non-profit research and development institute. One is the identification of six different, but interlinked, concepts of technology road-mapping that are relevant to stakeholders. The other is a -Joint Planning‖ experiment, which suggests that road-mapping planning should rely on the co-creation of all relevant stakeholders and should take place in multiples points of the process, in order to grasp any new learning and context that may arise during the execution of the road-mapping initiative Key words: Technology roadmapping; Design thinking; Technology management; Technology planning; Product roadmapping Resumo: Este trabalho emprega a combinação das abordagens de Design Thinking e Roadmapping de Produtos para desenvolver as principais habilidades e capacidades de gerenciamento de tecnologia durante a Quarta Revolução Industrial. Apresenta uma visão geral da literatura dessas duas abordagens, mostrando uma lacuna na pesquisa que sugere sua combinação. Define o planejamento do Roadmapping da tecnologia como um problema complexo centrado no homem e propõe uma sequência simples de três etapas para avaliar quando o Design Thinking é aplicável. O artigo apresenta os resultados do uso desta abordagem em uma unidade de negócios em um instituto privado de pesquisa e desenvolvimento sem fins lucrativos. Uma delas é a identificação de seis conceitos diferentes, mas interligados, de mapeamento de estradas de tecnologia que são relevantes para as partes interessadas. O outro é um experimento de Planejamento Conjunto, que sugere que o planejamento do Roadmapping deve basear-se na co-criação de todos os interessados relevantes e deve ocorrer em múltiplos pontos do processo, a fim de compreender qualquer novo aprendizado e contexto que possam ocorrer ou surjam durante a execução da iniciativa de Roadmapping. Palavras-chave: Roadmapping de produtos; Design thinking; Gerenciamento de Tecnologia; Planejamento da Tecnológia. RISUS -Journal on INTRODUCTIONThe Fourth Industrial Revolution brings a "wave of technological advances that are changing the way we live, work, stay alive and interact with each other and machines" (World Economic Forum, 2016a). Much attention is given to demographic and socio-economic drivers of change, such as changing work environments and flexible working arrangements and longevity and ageing societies, or technological drivers of change, such as mobile internet and cloud technology and advances in computing power and Big Data (Worl...

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Using scenarios for roadmapping: The case of clean production

Cited by 117 publications

References 49 publications

Roadmapping in Polish Foresight Initiatives – Best Practices

Roadmapping in Polish Foresight Initiatives – Best Practices

Future scenarios to inspire innovation

Design Thinking and Product Roadmapping in the Fourth Industrial Revolution

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