The use of bacteriocin-producing lactic acid bacteria for improved food fermentation processes seems promising. However, lack of fundamental knowledge about the functionality of bacteriocin-producing strains under food fermentation conditions hampers their industrial use. Predictive microbiology or a mathematical estimation of microbial behavior in food ecosystems may help to overcome this problem. In this study, a combined model was developed that was able to estimate, from a given initial situation of temperature, pH, and nutrient availability, the growth and self-inhibition dynamics of a bacteriocin-producing Lactobacillus sakei CTC 494 culture in (modified) MRS broth. Moreover, the drop in pH induced by lactic acid production and the bacteriocin activity toward Listeria as an indicator organism were modeled. Self-inhibition was due to the depletion of nutrients as well as to the production of lactic acid. Lactic acid production resulted in a pH drop, an accumulation of toxic undissociated lactic acid molecules, and a shift in the dissociation degree of the growth-inhibiting buffer components. The model was validated experimentally.Predictive microbiology is frequently applied in the area of food microbiology to develop and apply mathematical models to simulate the responses of undesirable microorganisms to specified environmental variables (8,10,18,22,24). In the meat industry, for example, several of these models have been successfully developed in the area of risk assessment and microbial shelf-life studies, focusing on the outgrowth, toxin production, or inactivation of harmful microorganisms (1,19).Recently, there has also been interest in the modeling of beneficial microorganisms deliberately added to food to produce a desired effect. For instance, modeling of the functionality of bacteriocin-producing lactic acid bacteria seems promising for the prediction of bacteriocin bioactivity in foods (12). Bacteriocins are, in general, small peptides or proteins with an antibacterial mode of action towards strains that are closely related to the producer organism, often encompassing spoilage bacteria and food-borne pathogens (6). Bacteriocin-producing strains may be applied as starter cultures or cocultures in the food fermentation industry to obtain more competitive strains and to reduce the risk of the outgrowth of such undesirable bacteria (5). However, some doubt about their industrial application as novel functional starter cultures remains. Strains that display bacteriocin activity under laboratory conditions do not necessarily perform well once they are applied in the food under fermentation conditions (20). Modeling may help to clarify how specific conditions that prevail in the food environment during fermentation influence the performance of bacteriocin-producing starters (16).As an example, Lactobacillus sakei CTC 494 is of particular interest as a functional bacteriocin-producing starter for sausage fermentation (2, 11). In previous studies, the effects of constant temperature and pH (13), the prese...