A model-based planning tool, integrated in an imaging system, is envisioned for CT-guided percutaneous microwave ablation. This study aims to evaluate the biophysical model performance, by comparing its prediction retrospectively with the actualablation ground truth from a clinical data set in liver. The biophysical model uses a simplified formulation of heat depositionon the applicator and a heat sink related to vasculature to solve the bioheat equation. A performance metric is defined toassess how the planned ablation overlaps the actual ground truth. Results demonstrate superiority of this model predictioncompared to manufacturer tabulated data and a significant influence of the vasculature cooling effect. Nevertheless, vasculatureshortage due to branches occlusion and applicator misalignment due to registration error between scans affects the thermalprediction. With a more accurate vasculature segmentation, occlusion risk can be estimated, whereas branches can be usedas liver landmarks to improve the registration accuracy. Overall, this study emphasizes the benefit of a model-based thermalablation solution in better planning the ablation procedures. Contrast and registration protocols must be adapted to facilitate itsintegration into the clinical workflow.