Decision-support systems (DSS) are techniques that help decision makers utilize models to solve problems under complex and uncertain conditions. Predicting conditions that warrant intervention is a key tenet of the concept of integrated pest management (IPM) with the use of expert systems and pest models being characteristics of higher-level IPM. In this paper, potentials of four DSS including Ag-Radar, NEWA, RIMpro and Skybit to be used for ornamental nursery production are discussed. These systems were previously developed for orchard growers to effectively manage plant diseases and insects. Their development was based on the input of historical disease, insect pest and weather information. It will be an instrumental management aid to control insects and diseases in a timely manner if nursery growers can adaptively implement these orchard DSS into their production practices. In order to maximize effectiveness, however, next-generation DSS should consider the addition of consensus forecast models into user interfaces by combining the information generated from multiple independent models into a single spray-decision recommendation.
Index words: expert system, DSS, model prediction, forecast, insect, disease.