In ESRD, the neurohormone arginine vasopressin (AVP) may act primarily through V1a and V1b receptors, which promote vasoconstriction, myocardial hypertrophy, and release of adrenocorticotropic hormone. The preanalytical instability of AVP limits the investigation of whether this hormone associates with cardiovascular events, but the stable glycopeptide copeptin may serve as a surrogate because it is co-secreted with AVP from the posterior pituitary. Here, we studied whether copeptin predicts cardiovascular risk and mortality in ESRD. We measured copeptin at baseline in 1241 hemodialysis patients with type 2 diabetes participating in the German Diabetes and Dialysis Study. The median copeptin level was 81 pmol/L (interquartile range, 81 to 122 pmol/L). In Cox regression analyses, compared with patients with copeptin levels in the lowest quartile (Յ51 pmol/L), patients with copeptin levels in the highest quartile (Ͼ122 pmol/L) had a 3.5-fold increased risk for stroke (HR, 3.48; 95% CI: 1.71 to 7.09), a 73% higher risk for sudden death (HR, 1.73; 95% CI: 1.01 to 2.95), a 42% higher risk for combined cardiovascular events (HR, 1.42; 95% CI: 1.06 to 1.90), and a 48% higher risk for all-cause mortality (HR, 1.48; 95% CI: 1.15 to 1.90). In contrast, we did not detect significant associations between copeptin levels and risks for myocardial infarction or death caused by congestive heart failure. In conclusion, copeptin levels strongly associate with stroke, sudden death, combined cardiovascular events, and mortality in hemodialysis patients with type 2 diabetes. Whether vasopressin receptor antagonists will improve these outcomes requires further studies. 22: 782-790, 201122: 782-790, . doi: 10.1681 Arginine vasopressin (AVP) is a key neurohormone in the human body, with numerous important physiologic activities including regulation of BP, fluid volume, and serum osmolality. AVP acts via three G protein-coupled receptors, namely the V1a (vasoconstriction and myocardial hypertrophy), the V1b (release of adrenocorticotropic hormone), and the V2 receptor (water retention in the renal collecting duct). Despite its suggested importance in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular disorders, 1,2 the evaluation of AVP secretion is difficult because of its preanalytical instability. Copeptin, a 39-amino acid glycopeptide that comprises the Cterminal part of the AVP precursor, is co-secreted with AVP from the neurohypophysis and is a stable and sensitive surrogate marker for AVP release, making it much easier to measure. 3 Dialysis patients are at a very high risk of death (about 20% per year) 4 . Thus, the identification of new risk factors with the potential of applying inter-
J Am Soc Nephrol