Objective
We tested the hypothesis that a c-reactive protein (CRP) and ferritin based systemic inflammation contingency table can track mortality risk in pediatric severe sepsis.
Design
Prospective cohort study
Setting
Tertiary Pediatric Intensive Care Unit
Patients
Children with 100 separate admission episodes of severe sepsis were enrolled.
Interventions
Blood samples were attained on day two of sepsis and bi-weekly for biomarker batch analysis. A 2 × 2 contingency table using CRP and ferritin thresholds was developed.
Measurements and Main Results
A CRP of 4.08 mg/dL and a ferritin of 1,980 ng/mL were found to be optimal cutoffs for outcome prediction at first sampling (n = 100) using the Youden Index. PICU mortality was increased in the ‘High risk’ CRP ≥ 4.08 mg/dL and Ferritin ≥ 1,980 ng/mL category (6/13, 46.15%) compared to the ‘Intermediate risk’ CRP ≥ 4.08 mg/dL and Ferritin < 1,980 ng/mL or CRP < 4.08 mg/dL and Ferritin ≥ 1,980 ng/mL categories (2/43, 4.65%), and the ‘Low risk’ CRP < 4.08 mg/dL and Ferritin < 1,980 ng/mL category (0/44, 0%) (OR 36.43 [95% CI: 6.16–215.21]). The ‘High risk’ category was also associated with the development of Immunoparalysis (OR 4.47 [95% CI 1.34–14.96]) and Macrophage Activation Syndrome (OR 24.20 [95% CI 5.50–106.54]). Sixty three children underwent sequential blood sampling; those who were initially in the ‘Low risk’ category (n = 24) and those who subsequently migrated to (n =19) to the ‘Low risk’ category all survived, whereas those who remained in the ‘At risk’ categories had increased mortality (7/20 = 35%; p < 0.05).
Conclusions
A CRP and ferritin based contingency table effectively assessed mortality risk. Reduction in systemic inflammation below a combined threshold CRP of 4.08 mg/dL and ferritin of 1,980 ng / mL appeared to be a desired response in children with severe sepsis.