Vulnerability to natural disasters in Serbia: spatial and temporal comparison

Kovacevic-Majkic, Jelena; Panić, Milena; Miljanović, Dragana; Miletic, Radmila

doi:10.1007/s11069-014-1045-3

Cited by 25 publications

(15 citation statements)

References 42 publications

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“…Furthermore, the overview focuses particularly on the management of hydrometeorological hazards, which are, according to UNISDR, of “atmospheric, hydrological or oceanographic origin. Examples are tropical cyclones (also known as typhoons and hurricanes); floods, including flash floods; drought; heat waves and cold spells; and coastal storm surges.” This focus is crucial because depending on the type of hazard, the vulnerability as well as the coping capacities of a community or a region can be very different (Kovacević‐Majkić et al, ; Lindell & Hwang, ).…”

Section: Demographic Change and The Management Of Natural Hazard Riskmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, following the global urbanization trend in recent years (Haase, Güneralp, Dahiya, Bai, & Elmqvist, 2018), most publications turned their attention towards cities, for example, focusing on correlations between growing settlements and hazard exposure (Barredo, 2009;Bouwer, Bubeck, & Aerts, 2010;Wisner et al, 2003). Despite the obvious fact that the vulnerability of urban and rural areas develops differently (Cross, 2001; Kovacevi c-Majki c, Pani c, Miljanovi c, & Mileti c, 2014), areas facing population decline and shrinkage were often ignored (Kabisch, Haase, & Haase, 2012). For small communities, it is particularly hard to face losses "with far fewer [and steadily decreasing] resources, whether these are human, economic, political, or technological."…”

Section: Demographic Change and The Management Of Natural Hazard Rimentioning

confidence: 99%

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How demographic developments determine the management of hydrometeorological hazard risks in rural communities: The linkages between demographic and natural hazards research

Clar

2019

WIREs Water

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The management of hydrometeorological hazard risks increasingly builds on the notion that the main constituents—hazard risk and vulnerability—have to be understood as dynamic processes. Natural hazards and their impacts are influenced by changes in land use and impacts of climate change, whereas the vulnerability of communities is, inter alia, determined by changes in their demographic composition. Structurally weak rural regions have to face these challenges, while their capacities to manage hydrometeorological risks are affected by major demographic developments, such as population decline and demographic aging (especially in Europe). Nonetheless, academic research regarding this issue is still in its infancy. Research on the relationship between hydrometeorological hazards and long‐term demographic change often focuses on one side of the coin: impacts of hazards on the demographic composition of communities. The impacts of demographic change onto communities' ability to prepare for, respond to and recover from natural hazards appear as disregarded link. This article gives an overview over linkages by reviewing literature at the intersection of demographic and hydrological hazard research. The review of more than 90 publications provides insights into how particular demographic factors (socioeconomic status; migration, residency, and mobility; gender and gender relations; education and knowledge; and religion and beliefs) determine the management of hydrometeorological hazard risks. Furthermore, it identifies publications which consider long‐term developments. The overview shows that we lack a thorough connection between demographic change and hydrometeorological hazard risk management, which would be crucial for in‐depth studies as well as a more dynamic understanding of respective linkages. This article is categorized under: Science of Water > Water Extremes Engineering Water > Planning Water

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Section: Demographic Change and The Management Of Natural Hazard Riskmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Demographic Change and The Management Of Natural Hazard Rimentioning

confidence: 99%

How demographic developments determine the management of hydrometeorological hazard risks in rural communities: The linkages between demographic and natural hazards research

Clar

2019

WIREs Water

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“…Lower part of the watershed belongs to the urban zone of Belgrade and higher belongs to the rural part of Belgrade macroregion, usually used for agriculture (53.2 %) and under forest vegetation (28.8 %). According to results of Kovačević-Majkić et al (2014), watershed municipality-Č ukarica, Rakovica and Voždovac, is classified into moderate vulnerable municipalities.…”

Section: Study Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Their occurrence is sudden, duration is short, and impact is destructive, so that torrential flood risk management is a real challenge for authorities in Serbia (Petrović 2015a), considering the fact that vulnerability to natural disasters in Serbia is highest in most populated areas (towns) which are placed in hazard-prone areas (Kovačević-Majkić et al 2014). Torrential flood risk management in Serbia, through organized torrent and erosion control works, started at the beginning of the twentieth century, is going to be tailored according to Directive on flood risk management (2007/60/EC).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Application of run-off model as a contribution to the torrential flood risk management in Topčiderska Reka watershed, Serbia

2016

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This paper deals with developing of hydrological flow model for the torrential watershed of the Topčiderska River, located in the Belgrade macro-region, in which torrential flood events have had destructive human and material consequences. The aim of the paper was to show that model, developed by hydrological software SHETRAN, is useful tool enabling the simulation of physical properties and hydrological processes in watersheds, having a significant place in decision support system within the torrential flood risk management. Results achievement was enabled through three phases: (1) Sensitivity analysis showed that the closest hydrograph to registered hydrograph is modelled with averaged values of parameters; (2) model calibration was done by calibration of four main parameters with significant influence on flow component (hydraulic conductivity of soil and rock, Strickler roughness coefficient for overland and river network flow) in case of the torrential flood event from 10th July 1999; and (3) model verification was done by input of calibrated values in case of two another torrential flood events (1996, 1999). Statistical analysis of correspondence of modelled and registered discharges showed that due to correlation coefficient (0.95-0.98) and determination coefficient (0.90-0.96) as well as probability of error according to F test, good results are achieved. Considering obtained results, developed model should be a part of torrential flood risk management in watershed of Topčiderska River.

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“…After that (2013), the production of the studies was increased [26][27][28][29][30][31], most likely as a result of the hazards that happened thereafter.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Local Resilience to Natural Hazards in Serbia. Case Study: The West Morava River Valley

et al. 2018

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During the past decade, the valley of the West Morava in the central part of the Republic of Serbia experienced several natural hazards that have changed the life of the inhabitants. The aim of this paper is to show how people perceive natural hazards in the areas where they do not have catastrophic consequences for the entire population. The perceptions of natural hazards were examined according to similar studies and collected through surveys and interviews. The obtained stratified sample information was coded, and the results are expressed in the parameters of descriptive statistics, using T-test and ANOVA. The population is partially affected if inhabited locations are in the threatened part of the West Morava River valley and if their activities have direct consequences by natural disasters. They emphasize the importance of the political influences and mass media, but they show the need for additional information on prevention and protection. That is where they see geography as profession that sublimates all knowledge of natural disasters, unlike others that are more narrowly skilled. The results of the research are the starting point for further regional comparisons, which will complement the picture of the people's attitude and resilience to natural hazards in Serbia and the Balkan Peninsula.

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Vulnerability to natural disasters in Serbia: spatial and temporal comparison

Cited by 25 publications

References 42 publications

How demographic developments determine the management of hydrometeorological hazard risks in rural communities: The linkages between demographic and natural hazards research

How demographic developments determine the management of hydrometeorological hazard risks in rural communities: The linkages between demographic and natural hazards research

Application of run-off model as a contribution to the torrential flood risk management in Topčiderska Reka watershed, Serbia

Local Resilience to Natural Hazards in Serbia. Case Study: The West Morava River Valley

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