2022
DOI: 10.3389/fevo.2022.825875
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Warming Causes Atypical Phenology in a Univoltine Moth With Differentially Sensitive Larval Stages

Abstract: Climate change profoundly alters the phenology of insects, yet the mechanisms at play remain particularly elusive for univoltine species. Those species typically have to deal with contrasting thermal conditions across their development and life stages occurring at different seasons may have different thermal sensitivity. A modeling framework taking into account stage-specific thermal biology is lacking to predict the effect of climate change on the phenology of such species. Insect development rate scales non-… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…Beside consequences of heat on immediate mortality investigated in experimental work (e.g., Rocha et al 2017) or inferred in the present study by putting together long time series, the ultimate fitness of individuals that survive challenging heats at the egg stage or first larval instar would therefore be of great interest to understand the impacts of climate warming at the southern edge of the PPM. This insect remains one of the ideal models to study these questions owing to (Ii) the availability of historical data, (ii) and its already demonstrated spatial and phenotypic causal response to climate change (Battisti et al, 2005;Robinet et al, 2007;Poitou et al, 2022), and (iii) ongoing processes at play in its southernmost distribution affecting population persistence (Bourougaaoui et al 2021 ;this study). (Battisti et al, 2005;Robinet et al, 2007).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Beside consequences of heat on immediate mortality investigated in experimental work (e.g., Rocha et al 2017) or inferred in the present study by putting together long time series, the ultimate fitness of individuals that survive challenging heats at the egg stage or first larval instar would therefore be of great interest to understand the impacts of climate warming at the southern edge of the PPM. This insect remains one of the ideal models to study these questions owing to (Ii) the availability of historical data, (ii) and its already demonstrated spatial and phenotypic causal response to climate change (Battisti et al, 2005;Robinet et al, 2007;Poitou et al, 2022), and (iii) ongoing processes at play in its southernmost distribution affecting population persistence (Bourougaaoui et al 2021 ;this study). (Battisti et al, 2005;Robinet et al, 2007).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This insect remains one of the ideal models to study these questions owing to (i) the availability of historical data, (ii) its already demonstrated spatial and phenotypic causal response to climate change (Battisti et al, 2005;Robinet et al, 2007;Poitou et al, 2022), and (iii) ongoing processes at play in its southernmost distribution affecting population persistence (Bourougaaoui et al 2021;this study).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Currently, latitudinal and altitudinal expansions of the PPM range have been attributed to climate warming (Robinet et al 2013;Roques 2015;Bourougaaoui et al 2021a). In the last decades, expansion of PPM outbreaks has been reported across all of southern Europe (Netherer et al 2010;Poitou et al 2022;Zamora et al 2022;Azcárate et al 2023). In Algeria, outbreaks occur in the Aleppo pine (Pinus halepensis) forest in the semi-arid area and Atlas cedar forest (Cedrus atlantica) in the sub-humid elevation area (El-Mokhefi et al 2016).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%