2019
DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2019.03.047
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What drives the future supply of regulating ecosystem services in a mountain forest landscape?

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Cited by 90 publications
(63 citation statements)
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References 76 publications
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“…However, our results suggest that forest management in torrential watersheds should aim for as little interventions as possible to keep the probability of torrential hazards low. This insight is in line with recent simulation-based studies across the Alps, finding that non-intervention management is best able to provide regulating ecosystem services and protect against natural hazards , Langner et al 2017, Mina et al 2017, Seidl et al 2019. A major concern of managers in this regard remains the thread of large-scale natural disturbances .…”
Section: Predictor Domainssupporting
confidence: 80%
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“…However, our results suggest that forest management in torrential watersheds should aim for as little interventions as possible to keep the probability of torrential hazards low. This insight is in line with recent simulation-based studies across the Alps, finding that non-intervention management is best able to provide regulating ecosystem services and protect against natural hazards , Langner et al 2017, Mina et al 2017, Seidl et al 2019. A major concern of managers in this regard remains the thread of large-scale natural disturbances .…”
Section: Predictor Domainssupporting
confidence: 80%
“…However, as they are applied deliberately to regenerate forests, they are frequently seen as an important means to maintain the long-term protective function of forests against natural hazards (Brang et al 2006, Streit et al 2009. Recent quantitative studies indicated, however, that unmanaged forests provide a higher level of protection against natural hazards than managed forests (Irauschek et al 2017, Mina et al 2017, Seidl et al 2019. It thus remains unclear how forest disturbances-both natural and human-affect the occurrence probability and frequency of torrential hazards.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This allowed us to identify under which combined climate forcing (if any) a critical transition occurs. To ensure realistic temporal variation and autocorrelation of climate variables, we used statistically downscaled future climate scenario data (i.e., from the GCM‐RCM combination of HadGEM2‐ES and CLMcom‐CCLM4‐8‐17 driven by RCP 8.5, see also Seidl et al., 2019 for details on how the climate scenario was derived) as basis for our climate scenarios. For each stepwise increase in temperature, we identified periods with a minimum length of 20 years in the downscaled climate scenarios where the simulated temperature change matched the respective target (i.e., +1°C: 2001–2022, +2°C: 2016–2046, +3°C: 2036–2067, +4°C: 2055–2075, +5°C: 2061–2091, +6°C: 2079–2099), while climate for the +0°C level was sampled from historical records (1961–2000).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To address our research question regarding the reversibility of climate impacts and test for possible hysteresis, we first simulated a stepwise increase in temperature up to +6°C (which is the expected temperature increase in our study landscape by the end of the 21st century under RCP 8.5, Seidl et al., 2019), followed by a symmetrical stepwise decrease in temperature. This sequence of temperature change was simulated for each of the above‐described precipitation change scenarios, with precipitation remaining at the same level throughout the respective simulations.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…On the other hand, in mountainous terrain unmanaged forests show a higher capacity of climate and erosion self-regulation compared to managed forests. Therefore, natural forests are more resilient to altering environmental conditions and will provide valuable regulating ecosystem services in the future (Seidl et al 2019). The monitoring of such small-scale forest management practices will be crucial to guarantee a sustainable forestry, not only in Austria.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%