2003
DOI: 10.1016/s0165-4101(03)00036-3
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What insiders know about future earnings and how they use it: Evidence from insider trades

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Cited by 523 publications
(336 citation statements)
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References 43 publications
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“…Measurement precision is enhanced if information revelation is concentrated in one or more sub-periods. Indeed, similar to Ke et al (2003) results for insiders, we find that REIT managers_ strongest forecasts are for payoffs between three to nine months after the repurchase announcement. Such a delayed effect is observed by Akhigbe et al (2004) for REIT initial public offerings as well.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 84%
“…Measurement precision is enhanced if information revelation is concentrated in one or more sub-periods. Indeed, similar to Ke et al (2003) results for insiders, we find that REIT managers_ strongest forecasts are for payoffs between three to nine months after the repurchase announcement. Such a delayed effect is observed by Akhigbe et al (2004) for REIT initial public offerings as well.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 84%
“…For example Elliott et al (1984) and Shivakumar and Waymire (1994) are unable to find a relation between insider trading activity/profits and specific information releases. These results as well as those of Noe (1999) and Ke et al (2001) suggest that insiders' information advantage is not related to advance knowledge of upcoming announcements. Second, evidence suggests that insiders' trades predict returns for up to a year following the trade, but that the majority of the abnormal return occurs in the first six months after the trade (Seyhun (1998)).…”
Section: Dependent Variablementioning
confidence: 59%
“…The strongest evidence is found in Ke et al (2003); they examine insider-trading patterns in advance of a break in quarterly earnings increases and find insider sales increase three to nine quarters before the earnings break. The authors conclude that insiders trade ahead of earnings breaks, but do so several quarters ahead of the break in order to avoid the appearance of trading on near-term, material news about earnings.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Our sample consists of a broad set of ordinary performance innovations that are less likely to attract regulatory scrutiny than extreme performance changes (see Ke et al, 2003). The use of a long measurement window increases the odds that our sample captures both the performance signals being used by the insiders and the transactions themselves.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%