2011
DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2011.04.001
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What types of contacts are important for the spread of infections? Using contact survey data to explore European mixing patterns

Abstract: Knowledge of the determinants of infectious disease transmission is a public health priority as it allows the design of optimal control strategies for endemic or emerging infections. We analyse a detailed dataset on contact patterns across five European countries and use available serological profiles for varicella and parvovirus B19 infections to identify the types of contact that may be most relevant for transmission. We show that models informed by contact data fit well the observed serological profiles of … Show more

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Cited by 138 publications
(152 citation statements)
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“…There is, however, strong circumstantial evidence that the contact diary approach, with a definition of contact which includes conversational or physical touch encounters, can capture aspects of social interaction important for the transmission of infection [59, 65, 70]. These studies have investigated the utility of social contact data in explaining patterns of serological prevalence in a population.…”
Section: Future Challengesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There is, however, strong circumstantial evidence that the contact diary approach, with a definition of contact which includes conversational or physical touch encounters, can capture aspects of social interaction important for the transmission of infection [59, 65, 70]. These studies have investigated the utility of social contact data in explaining patterns of serological prevalence in a population.…”
Section: Future Challengesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Available projections on mortality, birth and migration rates [34] relative to the period 2010-2050 were used for model predictions about future dynamics. For what concerns the transmission model, as no survey data on social mixing patterns [35,36] are available for Spain, we parametrized age-specific contact patterns with estimates based on census-type data provided by a previously published study [37]. Calibration was done using age-specific VZV seroprevalence data in 1996 for Spain, made available by the European Seroepidemiological Network 2 [38], and agespecific data on HZ incidence from 2005 to 2006 [39].…”
Section: Methods (A) Datamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The prevalence of antibodies to B19 has been reported at higher rates in studies carried out in different geographic regions. Approximately 15% of preschool children, 50% of adults, and 85% of the elderly are seropositive (7). B19-specific IgG antibody prevalence varies worldwide, ranging from 2% to 15% in children aged 1-5 years and from 30% to 60% in adults (8).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%