1999
DOI: 10.1111/1467-985x.00123
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What Works?: Selectivity Models and Meta-Analysis

Abstract: What works seeks to identify rehabilitative treatments which are successful in reducing the likelihood that offenders will reoffend. A large number of small case±control studies have been reported in the literature, but with con¯icting results. Meta-analysis has been used to reconcile these ®ndings, but again with con¯icting results. We reanalyse one of the published meta-analyses in the corrections literature and argue the importance of speci®cally modelling heterogeneity and selection bias. A sensitivity app… Show more

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Cited by 159 publications
(187 citation statements)
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“…As a final note to the issue of funnel plot asymmetry and publication bias, it is worth mentioning the copas package ), which can be used together with the meta package (Schwarzer 2010) and provides additional methods for modeling and adjusting for bias in a meta-analysis via selection models (Copas 1999;Copas andShi 2000, 2001).…”
Section: Trim and Fill Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As a final note to the issue of funnel plot asymmetry and publication bias, it is worth mentioning the copas package ), which can be used together with the meta package (Schwarzer 2010) and provides additional methods for modeling and adjusting for bias in a meta-analysis via selection models (Copas 1999;Copas andShi 2000, 2001).…”
Section: Trim and Fill Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Many of the sophisticated modelling methods were discussed in depth in the 2000 HTA report 2 and in a review article by Sutton et al 483 These methods are usually based on weighted distribution theory derived from both classical 338,[484][485][486][487][488][489][490][491][492] or Bayesian [493][494][495][496][497] perspectives. There are two aspects to the selection models that use weighted distribution theory: an effect size model, which specifies what the distribution of the effect size estimate would be if there were no selection, and the selection model, which specifies how this effect size distribution is modified by the selection process.…”
Section: Sophisticated Modelling Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…482 Therefore, it has been recognised that weight function models should be used to conduct sensitivity analyses, rather than to provide a single 'correct' estimate by adjusting for the assumed selection bias. 482,499 A sensitivity analysis method using weight function for assessing the impact of publication bias has been proposed by Copas et al 482,489,500 The probability of study selection is assumed to be associated with estimated effect sizes and corresponding standard errors. Then a range of plausible values for inestimable parameters can be tested using the model to provide a range of corresponding estimates on the size of bias or the number of unpublished studies, which can be used to indicate the possible impact of selection bias under different assumptions.…”
Section: Sophisticated Modelling Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For a half-century, medical researchers, as well as some economists have expressed concerns about the detrimental effects of publication selection (Sterling, 1959;Tullock, 1959;Feige, 1975;Rosenthal, 1979;Lovell, 1983;Begg and Berlin, 1988;DeLong and Lang, 1992;Card and Krueger, 1995;Sterling, Rosenbaum and Weinkam, 1995;Copas, 1999). Publication selection bias is widely acknowledged as a threat to scientific practice and statistical inference.…”
Section: Publication Selectionmentioning
confidence: 99%