When the Islamic State Comes to Town: The Economic Impact of Islamic State Governance in Iraq and Syria

Robinson, Eric; Egel, Daniel; Johnston, Patrick B.; Mann, Sean; Rothenberg, Alexander D.; Stebbins, David

doi:10.7249/rr1970

Cited by 10 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…While anarchy reigned in some territories in the Syrian Civil War, for instance, in others the Kurdish rebels or Islamic State militants became de facto governing authorities after they wrested control from regime forces. These armed groups implemented their own versions of social order and service delivery to local residents (Saleh, 2017;Robinson et al, 2017). Rebel governance of civilians may also alter civilian loyalties, impacting conflict dynamics (Kalyvas, 2006).…”

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confidence: 99%

Arms for education? External support and rebel social services

Huang

Sullivan

2020

Journal of Peace Research

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How does foreign support for rebel groups affect rebel governance of civilians during armed conflict? Existing studies primarily examine the local and domestic politics of rebel rule, leaving the effects of foreign intervention on rebel governance underexplored. Focusing on rebel provision of social services, this study considers two competing arguments. The first suggests that foreign sponsorship reduces rebels’ need to rely on local civilians for resources and hence decreases rebels’ incentives to provide services. The second anticipates that by augmenting rebels’ resources and military capabilities, foreign support increases their capacity to provide welfare services. These competing logics suggest that different types of foreign support have divergent effects on rebel social service provision. The article tests this theory using cross-sectional time-series data on external support for rebel groups and rebel governance for the post-1945 period. It finds that rebel groups that receive external funding, weapons or training are significantly more likely to provide education and health services to civilians. In contrast, direct military intervention to assist insurgent forces has no effect on rebel service provision. This article is among the first to systematically study the impact of external support and third-party intervention on rebel social service provision during civil war and holds implications for civilian welfare in contested territories.

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Arms for education? External support and rebel social services

Huang

Sullivan

2020

Journal of Peace Research

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“…Following prior studies (e.g. Dechow et al, 2010;Demerjian et al, 2012Demerjian et al, , 2017Robinson et al, 2019;Wells, 2020), the following control variables are used.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This has led to the organization being deemed as a global threat (Carafano, 2016). Utilizing remote sensing data and commercial satellite imagery, Robinson et al (2019) provide a unique Managerial ability, earnings quality and ISIS perspective on the internal situation in ISIS-controlled areas. It gives a clear picture of life in these areas which is characterized by electricity shortages, a large number of displaced people, reduced agricultural products and increasing violence.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Managerial ability, earnings quality and ISIS: evidence from Iraq

Bazrafshan

Makarem

Hesarzadeh

et al. 2021

IJOEM

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PurposeThis study investigates the association between managerial ability and earnings quality in firms listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange and how the emergence of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) influences the association.Design/methodology/approachThis study uses a sample of firms listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange over the period 2012–2018. Managerial ability is quantified using data envelopment analysis, and earnings quality is measured by earnings restatement, earnings persistence, accruals quality and earnings response coefficient. Panel regression analysis is used to examine the research hypotheses.FindingsThe findings indicate that managerial ability positively affects earnings quality of Iraqi firms and that ISIS weakens the relationship between managerial ability and earnings quality. These findings are robust to the alternative measures of managerial ability, as well as to various approaches used to address endogeneity including propensity-score matching and a difference-in-differences analysis.Originality/valueThis study provides insight into the impact of managerial ability on earnings quality in an under-studied emerging market. Furthermore, this study broadens the existing literature about the financial consequences of a modern terrorist group, ISIS.

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“…Also see Michael J. Mazarr, "Land Power and a Third Offset Through a Wide-Angle Lens," War On the Rocks,May 21, 2015. 6 EricRobinson, Daniel Egel, Patrick B. Johnston, Sean Mann, Alexander D. Rothenberg, and David Stebbins, When the Islamic State Comes to Town: The Economic Impact of Islamic State Governance in Iraq and Syria, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND Corporation, RR-1970, 2017, p. iii.…”

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confidence: 99%

A History of the Strategic Implications of the Great Recession and Its Aftermath on U.S. National Defense

2023

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the country was officially in recession, and it would not emerge from this contraction for 18 months. This history considers the Great Recession's reverberations, and especially the related emergence of a national focus on deficit reduction, on the Department of Defense (DoD) as senior leaders in the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) and the Joint Staff worked to shift from a decade of counterterrorism operations toward future threats amid a dynamic threat environment and budgetary uncertainty.The research reported here was completed in December 2021 and underwent security review with the sponsor and the Defense Office of Prepublication and Security Review before public release.

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When the Islamic State Comes to Town: The Economic Impact of Islamic State Governance in Iraq and Syria

Cited by 10 publications

References 2 publications

Arms for education? External support and rebel social services

Arms for education? External support and rebel social services

Managerial ability, earnings quality and ISIS: evidence from Iraq

A History of the Strategic Implications of the Great Recession and Its Aftermath on U.S. National Defense

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