2007
DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2006.09.002
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Why Countries Become Wealthy: The Effects of Adult Longevity on Saving

Abstract: We analyze steady state and out-of-steady-state effects of the transition in adult longevity on the national saving rate using historical data and international panel data. The rise in adult life expectancy has a large and statistically significant effect on aggregate saving. The effects have been especially pronounced in East Asia because its mortality transition was very rapid. Gains in life expectancy are much more important than declines in child dependency. Population aging may not lead to lower saving ra… Show more

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Cited by 75 publications
(62 citation statements)
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“…Several explanations have been offered for why these patterns have been so important in Asia including the rapid rate of economic growth, less reliance on public transfer systems for old-age support, and the speed of the demographic transition. Using both historical and contemporary data, Kinugasa (2004) and Kinugasa and Mason (2007) showed that rapid increases in life expectancy led to high savings rates and increases in wealth per capita. An important feature of their result is that the finding in contemporary economies is confined to Asia where transfer systems tend to be less important for oldage support than they are in Europe and Latin America.…”
Section: Population Savings and Wealthmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Several explanations have been offered for why these patterns have been so important in Asia including the rapid rate of economic growth, less reliance on public transfer systems for old-age support, and the speed of the demographic transition. Using both historical and contemporary data, Kinugasa (2004) and Kinugasa and Mason (2007) showed that rapid increases in life expectancy led to high savings rates and increases in wealth per capita. An important feature of their result is that the finding in contemporary economies is confined to Asia where transfer systems tend to be less important for oldage support than they are in Europe and Latin America.…”
Section: Population Savings and Wealthmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The idea of planning and, hence, saving for retirement would be expected to occur only when mortality rates become low enough for retirement to be a realistic prospect. A recent study by Kinugasa and Mason (2007) analyze the effects of the transition in adult longevity on the national saving rate _________________________ 9 All the models include a vector of baseline attributes, including baseline measures of birth cohort (or age), marital status, race, ethnicity, education, region of residence, quintiles of family income, and an extensive vector of measures of baseline health. These health measures include dummies for the self reported health status, the presence at baseline of each chronic condition, a set of behavioural risk factors (smoking, exercise, BMI, drinking), and a scaled index of functional limitations based on the answers to the questions about activities of daily living.…”
Section: _________________________mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Increased adult longevity can increase the savings of prime-age adults, resulting in capital accumulation (Lee et al, 2001;Kinugasa and Mason, 2007;Mason and Kinugasa, 2008). Capital accumulation significantly contributes to economic growth.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Kinugasa and Yamaguchi (2008) combined the OLG model of Kinugasa and Mason (2007) and the general equilibrium growth accounting model of Yamaguchi (1982Yamaguchi ( , 2001). Kinugasa and Yamaguchi analysed the effects of changes in the number of children and adult longevity on capital accumulation, and examined how capital, which is influenced by the demographic change, affects agricultural and nonagricultural inputs and outputs.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%