2009
DOI: 10.1126/science.1165000
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Widespread Increase of Tree Mortality Rates in the Western United States

Abstract: Persistent changes in tree mortality rates can alter forest structure, composition, and ecosystem services such as carbon sequestration. Our analyses of longitudinal data from unmanaged old forests in the western United States showed that background (noncatastrophic) mortality rates have increased rapidly in recent decades, with doubling periods ranging from 17 to 29 years among regions. Increases were also pervasive across elevations, tree sizes, dominant genera, and past fire histories. Forest density and ba… Show more

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Cited by 1,538 publications
(1,150 citation statements)
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“…However, an increasing number of reports demonstrate that retraction of the trailing edge of the distribution of various woody species is now underway in mountains worldwide [3,4,12,[26][27][28][29]. Tree species, including the European beech (Fagus sylvatica) [12,29], trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides) [28], Ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) [4] and red spruce (Picea rubens) [26] are declining at their lower range limits, driven by elevated mortality and reproductive decline, linked to increasing temperatures and drought stress [12,30,31]. The few studies that quantify altitudinal range retractions or entire range shifts indicate range retractions of up to 140 m in species ranging from boreal forest trees to drought-tolerant evergreen shrubs during the past 50 years [26,27].…”
Section: Glossarymentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…However, an increasing number of reports demonstrate that retraction of the trailing edge of the distribution of various woody species is now underway in mountains worldwide [3,4,12,[26][27][28][29]. Tree species, including the European beech (Fagus sylvatica) [12,29], trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides) [28], Ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) [4] and red spruce (Picea rubens) [26] are declining at their lower range limits, driven by elevated mortality and reproductive decline, linked to increasing temperatures and drought stress [12,30,31]. The few studies that quantify altitudinal range retractions or entire range shifts indicate range retractions of up to 140 m in species ranging from boreal forest trees to drought-tolerant evergreen shrubs during the past 50 years [26,27].…”
Section: Glossarymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Elevated temperature and drought can directly elevate mortality [4,27,30,31,48,53,55,56], increase the susceptibility of species to attack by pests and pathogens [5,28,49,57], or favour outcompetition owing to reduced reproduction and relative competitive ability [12,26,29,55].…”
Section: Forest Dieback In Lowland Regionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…In many ecosystems, sufficient water availability is needed to sustain plant tissues from summer into autumn. Dry conditions during warm years have led to early senescence and even the death of long-lived plants 21,22 . Elevated CO 2 counteracts the negative effect of warming on water availability 19,23 (Fig.…”
Section: Research Lettermentioning
confidence: 99%