2006
DOI: 10.1093/wber/lhl004
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Will African Agriculture Survive Climate Change?

Abstract: Measurement of the likely magnitude of the economic impact of climate change on African agriculture has been a challenge. Using data from a survey of more than 9,000 farmers across 11 African countries, a cross-sectional approach estimates how farm net revenues are affected by climate change compared with current mean temperature. Revenues fall with warming for dryland crops (temperature elasticity of -1.9) and livestock (-5.4), whereas revenues rise for irrigated crops (elasticity of 0.5), which are located i… Show more

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Cited by 410 publications
(322 citation statements)
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References 28 publications
(30 reference statements)
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“…This is done by excluding Egypt from the analyses since Egypt contributes 60% of the irrigation cropping in the sample of all countries and its agriculture relies entirely on irrigation under a relatively cooler climate and therefore considered the first suspect for biasing temperature effects on irrigated crop farming in Africa. This proved to be true as results excluding Egypt suggest that warming is harmful to crop farming both under dryland and irrigation conditions (Kurukulasuriya et al, 2006). As expected however, higher rainfall is beneficial to crop agriculture in Africa under both drayland and irrigated systems.…”
Section: Results Of the Economic Impacts' Analysesmentioning
confidence: 61%
“…This is done by excluding Egypt from the analyses since Egypt contributes 60% of the irrigation cropping in the sample of all countries and its agriculture relies entirely on irrigation under a relatively cooler climate and therefore considered the first suspect for biasing temperature effects on irrigated crop farming in Africa. This proved to be true as results excluding Egypt suggest that warming is harmful to crop farming both under dryland and irrigation conditions (Kurukulasuriya et al, 2006). As expected however, higher rainfall is beneficial to crop agriculture in Africa under both drayland and irrigated systems.…”
Section: Results Of the Economic Impacts' Analysesmentioning
confidence: 61%
“…Thus, the livelihoods of many low-income households are likely to suffer from declining food production (Jones and Thornton 2009). Adaptation is an urgent priority for farm households to reduce the negative effects of climate change, and effective policies are needed to support farm households to adapt (Kurukulasuriya et al 2006).…”
Section: Electronic Supplementary Materialsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…(2000) ; Kurukulasuriya and al., (2006) Dynamic models vs. static models They consider, on the one hand, climate change and, on the other hand, the country's socio-economic changes Dynamic models are a closer representation of the evolution of the real world This dynamics allows consideration of the countries' adaptation capacity and relative assessment of the adverse impact of climate change Such a dynamics may be found in the IA models …”
Section: «Ricardian » Modelsmentioning
confidence: 99%