Will the Transportation Revolutions Improve Our Lives—or Make Them Worse?

Sperling, Daniel; Pike, Susan; Chase, Robin

doi:10.5822/978-1-61091-906-7_1

Cited by 16 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 0 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Among members of households earning over $100,000 per year, 16.55% ± 1.08 had used ridehailing in the last 30 days, compared to less than 10% for all other income groups. This is not particularly surprising, as ridehailing is relatively expensive [4]; expensive goods tend to be consumed more by wealthier people.…”

Section: Characteristics Of For-hire Vehicle Usersmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…Ridehailing firms have been accused of predatory pricing and operating at a loss [67]; prices may soon need to be adjusted upwards [68]. Alternatively, autonomous vehicles may soon be commercially available [4] (p. 15), which could lead to substantial reductions in the cost of providing ridehailing services. From the data available publicly today, we cannot estimate how ridehailing users would respond if the price were increased or decreased significantly.…”

Section: For Hire Vehicles: Data Needs and A Research Agendamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Ridehailing services have been characterized as transformative, disruptive, and perhaps revolutionary to our transportation system (e.g., refs. [1][2][3][4][5][6]). Shaheen [5] sees ridehailing and other shared mobility services as disruptors to the US status quo of private vehicle ownership.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Importantly, ridehailing services are usually less expensive than traditional taxis. Sperling [4] (p. 15) estimates ridehailing prices to be between $1.25 and $2.25 per passenger mile, and substantially less for shared ridehailing services. In comparison, taxicab rates in Phoenix, AZ are $2.20 per mile [12]; in Washington, DC, USA, $2.16 per mile [13]; in New York City, $2.50 per mile [14]; and in Kansas City, $2.10 per mile [15], with a variety of additional fees added to each trip.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Trends in Taxi Use and the Advent of Ridehailing, 1995–2017: Evidence from the US National Household Travel Survey

2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The advent of ridehailing services such as Uber and Lyft has expanded for-hire vehicle travel. We use data from the 2017 National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) to investigate the extent of this expansion in the United States. We report changes in the for-hire vehicle market since ridehailing services became available and statistically estimate the determinants of ridehailing use. From 2009-2017, the for-hire vehicle market share doubled. While for-hire vehicles still only account for 0.5% of all trips, the percent of all Americans who use ridehailing in any given month is nearly 10%. Within the for-hire vehicle market, this trend of growth has not been uniformly distributed across demographic groups or geographies; it has been greater in mid-sized and large cities, and among younger individuals and wealthier households. This suggests that understanding the equity implications of ridehailing is an important avenue for research. Multivariate analysis provides evidence that both transit and nonmotorized transport use are correlated with ridehailing use, that ridehailing has a negative relationship with vehicle ownership, and that residents of denser areas have higher ridehailing use. Given the rapid growth of ridehailing, it has become important for cities to include for-hire vehicles in their planning going forward. These NHTS data provide a starting point, but more detailed and frequent data collection is needed to fully understand this many-faceted, rapidly-changing market.

show abstract

Section: Characteristics Of For-hire Vehicle Usersmentioning

confidence: 98%

Section: For Hire Vehicles: Data Needs and A Research Agendamentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Trends in Taxi Use and the Advent of Ridehailing, 1995–2017: Evidence from the US National Household Travel Survey

2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…There is a growing consensus among experts that the disruptive change in transportation consists of three main components, which many researchers associate with each other: vehicle electrification, automation, and shared mobility [73]. This section of the paper focuses on autonomous vehicles (AVs) while the next section focuses on shared mobility.…”

Section: Autonomous Vehicles (Avs)mentioning

confidence: 99%

An overview of key evolutions in the light-duty vehicle sector and their impact on oil demand

Albrahim¹,

Zahrani²,

Arora

et al. 2019

Energy Transit

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The light-duty vehicle (LDV) sector is undergoing many changes, including technological advancements (e.g., vehicle electrification, automation), new business models (e.g., ride-hailing), and government regulations and policies (e.g., fuel economy (FE) standards, zero-emission vehicle mandates, infrastructure investments, and incentives to encourage adoption of alternative fuel vehicles). Despite significant uncertainty, these developments, combined with demographic growth, will influence the future LDV fleet size and composition, and consequently the oil demand from LDVs. This paper provides a review of changes in the LDV sector and an assessment of their impact on oil demand. It takes into account the impact of LDV fleet growth, increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and alternative fuels (focus on biofuels), and improvements in internal combustion engine vehicles' (ICEV) FE. Our analysis indicates that oil demand in 2040 could remain unchanged relative to 2016, but depending on the development of certain trends, demand could shrink or increase by ~6 million barrels per day (±25% relative to 2016). Our findings suggest that ICEV FE improvements could have a much greater impact on oil demand than the emergence of EVs. Moreover, preliminary research indicates that automation and shared mobility could reinforce the economic attractiveness of EVs, thereby increasing their penetration and impact on oil demand. Because of uncertainties in the development of these two trends by 2040 and difficulties in quantifying the complex interactions, we have not captured these effects in our model. Therefore, the range of uncertainty on the oil demand evolution could be even higher than our model indicates.

show abstract