Youth Labor Market Prospects in Times of Economic Recession in Brazil

Abstract

The article examines young people’s labor market prospects in Brazil during the most recent economic recession (2014–2017). We draw on data from the Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNAD Continua), between 2012 and 2017, to estimate both average labor market indicators over time and proportional hazard models of unemployment and underemployment. We find that youths’ labor market prospects declined considerably over the period, and, as in many countries during economic downturns, young people were more affected than adults. The analysis shows that gender, race, and education impact the hazards of unemployment and underemployment among young Brazilians. Kaplan-Meier curves show that differences between white and African Brazilian youth, as well as between college-educated youth and high school graduates (or less), increased between 2016 and 2017, when economic activity was at its worst level.

Dynamic work trajectories and their interplay with family over the life course

“…Others emphasize trajectories of career mobility by depicting sequences of categorical outcomes of work like employment status (Muñoz-Bullón and Malo, 2003;Manzoni et al, 2014;Vuolo et al, 2014;Weisshaar and Cabello-Hutt, 2020;Van Winkle and Fasang, 2021). Transitions in the career are depicted by event history analysis, such as entry into the labor market from school (Kerckhoff, 2000;Becker and Blossfeld, 2017), or transitions into and out of employment (DiPrete, 1981;Mont'Alvao and Ribeiro, 2020) and low-wage precarious jobs (Schultz, 2019).…”

Trajetórias e transições entre jovens brasileiros: pode a expansão eludir as desigualdades?

“…Os achados para a amostra do survey tet aqui analisada podem ser enriquecidos se postos em perspectiva, indagando sobre a consistência de nossas conclusões sobre os "adolescentes", os "jovens" e os "jovens adultos" vis-à-vis as características desses três grupos na população e tendo em conta a dinâmica do mercado de trabalho documentadas na literatura (Sposito;Souza;Silva, 2018;Mont'alvão;Ribeiro, 2020). Para tanto, tomamos os dados da Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios (pnad) relativos à inserção dos jovens brasileiros no mercado de trabalho entre 2013 e 2018.…”

Juventude, educação e trabalho no Brasil (2012-2022)

“…Ademais, particularmente entre os jovens das camadas populares, as trajetórias ocupacionais e escolares são irregulares e intercambiáveis (Dayrrel, 2007;Guimarães, Brito e Comin, 2020). Esse fenômeno, somado aos menores níveis médios de experiência e qualificação profissional, torna-os vulneráveis ao desemprego e à informalidade durante crises econômicas (Mont' Alvao e Ribeiro, 2020). As mudanças nos sistemas de ensino também costumam afetar as coortes jovens (Sposito e Souza, 2014), o que institui chances típicas de mobilidade social e realização escolar para cada geração.…”