2020
DOI: 10.14783/maruoneri.698511
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Zaman Seri̇si̇ Anali̇zi̇ Ve Öngörü Modelleri̇

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Cited by 9 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…Other studies on the estimation of bus passengers' demands found estimation values of up to 78% [24,25,26]. But in some studies there are 89-90% [27,28]. In the present study, estimations were performed with 90% accuracy rate.…”
Section: Discussion and Outcomementioning
confidence: 60%
“…Other studies on the estimation of bus passengers' demands found estimation values of up to 78% [24,25,26]. But in some studies there are 89-90% [27,28]. In the present study, estimations were performed with 90% accuracy rate.…”
Section: Discussion and Outcomementioning
confidence: 60%
“…The Box-Jenkins method is based on the stinginess principle, which is expressed as using the least possible parameters for a model that adequately reflects the properties of the data (Akgul, 2003). The autoregressive process of the p. rank AR (p) is shown by Equation (3), the moving average of the q. rank MA (q) is shown by Equation (4) and the autoregressive moving average process of ARMA (p, q) is shown in Equation ( 5).…”
Section: Box-jenkins Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Araştırma kapsamında toplanan verilerin frekanslı zaman serisi verileri olması sebebiyle ilk aşamada sahte regresyondan kaçınmak amacıyla değişkenlerin mevsimsellik yapıları incelenmiş ve mevsimsellik gösteren değişkenler X-12 Census yöntemi ile mevsimselliklerinden arındırılmıştır (Phillips & Wang, 2016). Seriler mevsimsellik testlerine düzey halleri ile sokulmuş daha sonra mevsimsellik saptanan değişkenler mevsimselliklerden arındırılarak serilerin logaritmaları alınıp analizlere devam edilmiştir (Yamak & Erdem, 2017).…”
Section: Tablo 2 Değişken Tanımlarıunclassified