No abstract

The article presents a possible mechanism for the occurrence of natural disasters on a global scale based on the view of the Earth as an evolving electromagnetic self-oscillating system. The possible future of natural disasters in the global dimension is presented. It has been established that for the period from 1900 to 2020 there was a gradual, and at certain time intervals and a sharp increase in the number of catastrophes on our planet. At the same time, there was an increase in the number of victims of these disasters, the number of victims and material damage. The article emphasizes that catastrophes for our planet are a natural course of development for it as for an evolving electromagnetic self-oscillating system. For this reason, all natural disasters on our planet must be adequately accepted and understood that only for humans they are catastrophes, and in the event of human losses and economic damage, they pass into the stage of emergency situations. The article also shows a close connection between natural disasters and the rhythms of the Sun and solar activity. «The frantic desire for life thrives in the heart of every great calamity» Albert Camus

The article assesses the resource and socio-economic potential of the mountainous part of the Siberian Federal District - one of the largest federal districts of Russia with unique natural resources, difficult natural living conditions and sufficiently developed economic conditions. The methodology developed by the scientists of the Dubna University was adopted as a method for the calculations. This technique differs in that, on a single methodological basis, using physically measurable quantities and expressed in one unit of measurement, to assess the resource potential of the region. This approach is universal for all regions of the world. The scenarios for the development of the subjects of the Siberian Federal District in the economic, social and environmental spheres have been established. The classification of regions is carried out in relation to the extensive and innovative development of the economy and society. For the transition of the subjects of the Siberian Federal District to the rails of sustainable innovative development, it is necessary to increase the efficiency of production in accordance with the demographic, social and environmental policy, as well as to reduce the consumption of natural energy resources.

The paper presents a method to assess and forecast consequences of natural and man-made emergencies, based on regions of the Siberian Federal District of Russia. A single common measure for all emergencies can be found only in socio-economic consequences of emergencies — both natural and man-made accidents. This measure is the number of victims, as well as the amount of losses. The calculations are based on the factors that adjust the number of victims and losses from natural and man-made disasters to the population level and prices of 2000. The paper presents some statistics of emergency situations in the Siberian Federal District for 2000–2010. Based on the calculation results, forecast maps for damage caused by natural and man-made emergencies, as well as for total damage for 1960, 1990, 2010–2020, were created.

В работе рассмотрены условия развития сельского хозяйства в регионах Сибирского федерального округа (СФО) за период с 1990 по 2013 гг. под действием чрезвычайных ситуаций (ЧС). Приведен ряд факторов, влияющих на развитие отраслей сельского хозяйства в различных регионах СФО. В ходе исследования на разработанной схеме наглядно отражен процесс взаимодействия сельского хозяйства региона и общества. Отражены экономические потери отраслей сельского хозяйства региона от действия чрезвычайных ситуаций.Цель – оценить потенциал устойчивого развития сельского хозяйства в регионах Сибирского федерального округа (СФО) и его изменение под действием природно-техногенных чрезвычайных ситуаций.Метод или методология проведения работы: в статье использовались экономико-математические методы, а также статистические методы анализа.Результаты: получены наиболее информативные параметры, показывающие современное положение сельского хозяйства в регионах СФО и перспективы устойчивого развития.Область применения результатов: полученные результаты целесообразно применять экономическими субъектами, осуществляющими сельскохозяйственное производство в регионах СФО.