Corn is a strategic commodity in the Indonesian economy because corn is for either food or feed. As an important agricultural commodity, the corn production is highly targeted by the Indonesian government, i.e. 24.70 million tons in 2019 or 125% of the 2015 corn production. This target is better stochastically forecasted that its result is an interval in a certain probability level. Therefore, the goal of this research is to stochastically forecast the corn production. The data are time series and obtained from the FAO and the Indonesian Central Bureau Statistics. The data is analyzed by econometrics. The result showed that the corn production would be 18.93 million tons in 2019 with its 95% confidence interval between 17.09 million tons and 20.76 million tons.
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui peran perempuan dan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi kesetaraan gender dalam rumah tangga petani sayuran sawi di Kecamatan Gisting Kabupaten Tanggamus Provinsi Lampung. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif dengan mengambil 30 sampel petani sayuran sawi sebagai responden. Data yang digunakan adalah data primer dan data sekunder. Analisis data menggunakan pendekatan kesetaraan gender model Harvard. Tingkat kesetaraan gender dalam rumah tangga petani sawi diukur melalui pendekatan profil aktifitas yang meliputi 1) pembagian kerja reproduktif, 2) pembagian kerja produktif, dan 3) pembagian kerja sosial serta profil akses dan kontrol terhadap sumberdaya dan manfaat yang meliputi : 1) tingkat kesetaraan dalam akses terhadap sumberdaya, 2) tingkat kesetaraan dalam akses terhadap manfaat, 3) tingkat kesetaraan dalam kontrol terhadap sumberdaya, dan 4) tingkat kesetaraan dalam kontrol terhadap manfaat. Penelitian dilaksanakan pada bulan Agustus hingga September 2019. Hasil penelitian memberikan gambaran bahwa secara umum perempuan pada keluarga petani sawi di Pekon Campang telah memiliki kesetaraan dengan laki-laki dalam aktivitas domestik, usahatani, public/sosial dengan klasifikasi responsif gender. Hal ini dapat dilihat dari partisipasi perempuan dalam berbagai kegiatan baik domestik, usahatani, dan publik meskipun masyarakat Pekon Campang menganut budaya patriarki tetapi tetap memperhatikan peran perempuan dalam berbagai kegiatan yang dilakukan baik yang bersifat domestik, usahatani, dan publik. Faktor-faktor yang memperngaruhi kesetaraan gender dalam rumah tangga petani sawi meliputi faktor sosial budaya, kepercayaan, kebutuhan ekonomi dan persepsi masyarakat terhadap pembagian kerja dalam rumah tangga dan usahatani.
The objectives of this study are to analize the business, the added-value and employment of the tofu agroindustry in Bandar Lampung. This study was conducted in Gunung Sulah and Kedamaian villages which are the tofu production centers. The respondents are randomly chosen. The data are processed by using the financial analysis and the value-added analysis. There are two kinds of tofu, i.e the kopong tofu dan the cina tofu. The average net revenues over the cash costs were Rp10.49 million/month of the kopong tofu and Rp12.10 million/month of the cina tofu. The average net revenues over the total costs were Rp4.02 million/month of the kopong tofu and Rp5.17 million/month of the cina tofu. The average standard costs were Rp16,949.97/kg of the kopong tofu and Rp9,206.70/kg of the cina tofu.The average added-value was Rp5,109.31/kg soybeans and its 95 percent confidence interval was Rp2,864.23-7,354.39/kg soybeans. The employment in the two tofu production centers was 143 people.Key words: added value, agroindustry, business analysis, employment, tofu
Rice is the staple food for Indonesian people and Indonesia was in self-sufficiency for rice in 1984. Based on the Agricultural Ministry's Strategic Planning for 2015 -2019, the government targeted that the selfsufficiency in rice in 2019 by 82,078 million tons of the rice production. It is better that the production is stochastically forecasted in form of the interval of projection possibility with the certain probability level. Therefore, the objective of this research is to know the growth of rice production and to stochastically forecast it. The data used in this research is the production of rice in the period of 1961 -2015 obtained from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), and the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), Indonesia. The research data is analyzed by econometric method. The result revealed that the rice production would be 77,487 million tons in 2019 and it was 95% confidence interval would be between 74,901 and 80,071 million tons. The growth rate of the rice production in 2018 -2020 would be 0.6 percent per year. We could conclude that the government target of the rice production was higher than the result of stochastic forecasting.
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