SummaryAmong 377,561 female Medicare beneficiaries who sustained a fracture, 10% had another fracture within 1 year, 18% within 2 years, and 31% within 5 years. Timely management to reduce risk of subsequent fracture is warranted following all nontraumatic fractures, including nonhip nonvertebral fractures, in older women.IntroductionPrior fracture is a strong predictor of subsequent fracture; however, postfracture treatment rates are low. Quantifying imminent (12–24 month) risk of subsequent fracture in older women may clarify the need for early postfracture management.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study used Medicare administrative claims data. Women ≥ 65 years who sustained a clinical fracture (clinical vertebral and nonvertebral fracture; index date) and were continuously enrolled for 1-year pre-index and ≥ 1-year (≥  2 or ≥ 5 years for outcomes at those time points) post-index were included. Cumulative incidence of subsequent fracture was calculated from 30 days post-index to 1, 2, and 5 years post-index. For appendicular fractures, only those requiring hospitalization or surgical repair were counted. Death was considered a competing risk.ResultsAmong 377,561 women (210,621 and 10,969 for 2- and 5-year outcomes), cumulative risk of subsequent fracture was 10%, 18%, and 31% at 1, 2, and 5 years post-index, respectively. Among women age 65–74 years with initial clinical vertebral, hip, pelvis, femur, or clavicle fractures and all women ≥ 75 years regardless of initial fracture site (except ankle and tibia/fibula), 7–14% fractured again within 1 year depending on initial fracture site; risk rose to 15–26% within 2 years and 28–42% within 5 years. Risk of subsequent hip fracture exceeded 3% within 5 years in all women studied, except those < 75 years with an initial tibia/fibula or ankle fracture.ConclusionsWe observed a high and early risk of subsequent fracture following a broad array of initial fractures. Timely management with consideration of pharmacotherapy is warranted in older women following all fracture types evaluated.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1007/s00198-018-4732-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Clinical guidelines for evaluation and treatment following fragility fracture were met for less than one-third of women and less than one-sixth of men. While primary fracture prevention remains the ideal, secondary prevention is critical and there is a need to reverse the downward trend in adherence to post-fracture guidelines.

SummaryStudies examining real-world effectiveness of osteoporosis therapies are beset by limitations due to confounding by indication. By evaluating longitudinal changes in fracture incidence, we demonstrated that osteoporosis therapies are effective in reducing fracture risk in real-world practice settings.IntroductionOsteoporosis therapies have been shown to reduce incidence of vertebral and non-vertebral fractures in placebo-controlled randomized clinical trials. However, information on the real-world effectiveness of these therapies is limited.MethodsWe examined fracture risk reduction in older, post-menopausal women treated with osteoporosis therapies. Using Medicare claims, we identified 1,278,296 women age ≥ 65 years treated with zoledronic acid, oral bisphosphonates, denosumab, teriparatide, or raloxifene. Fracture incidence rates before and after treatment initiation were described to understand patients’ fracture risk profile, and fracture reduction effectiveness of each therapy was evaluated as a longitudinal change in incidence rates.ResultsFracture incidence rates increased during the period leading up to treatment initiation and were highest in the 3-month period most proximal to treatment initiation. Fracture incidence rates following treatment initiation were significantly lower than before treatment initiation. Compared with the 12-month pre-index period, there were reductions in clinical vertebral fractures for denosumab (45%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 39–51%), zoledronic acid (50%; 95% CI 47–52%), oral bisphosphonates (24%; 95% CI 22–26%), and teriparatide (72%; 95% CI 69–75%) during the subsequent 12 months. Relative to the first 3 months after initiation, clinical vertebral fractures were reduced for denosumab (51%; 95% CI 42–59%), zoledronic acid (25%; 95% CI 17–32%), oral bisphosphonates (23%; 95% CI 20–26%), and teriparatide (64%; 95% CI 58–69%) during the subsequent 12 months.ConclusionIn summary, reductions in fracture incidence over time were observed in cohorts of patients treated with osteoporosis therapies.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1007/s11657-018-0439-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Purpose Pharmacy commercial claims databases are widely used for pharmacoepidemiologic research. However, concerns have been raised that these databases may not fully capture claims for generic medication as a result of patients filling outside the context of their insurance. This has implications for many research activities and quality improvement programs. We sought to estimate the percentage of missing drug claims in US commercial claims data using a novel design. Methods Using a large US commercial insurance database, we examined the completeness of warfarin prescription claims among patients with atrial fibrillation receiving regular medical follow-up and testing to manage warfarin dosing. We examined 14 different 6-month cross sections. Each cross section was treated independently to identify patients with at least 2 outpatient diagnoses of atrial fibrillation, 2 international normalized ratio tests, and 1 pharmacy claim. Trends in the percentage of patients with prescription claims for generic and branded warfarin were compared by year and 6-month periods using chi-square tests and generalized linear models adjusting for patient characteristics. Results Out of 111,170 patients, the percentage of patients with any warfarin drug decreased slightly from 91.7% (95% CI: 91.0, 92.4) in early 2003 to 87.1% (95% CI: 86.7-87.6) in late 2009 (χ2=93.8, p<0.0001). Over the same interval, the proportion of patients with generic warfarin exposure appearing increased significantly, while the proportion of patients with branded warfarin exposure decreased significantly. Conclusions Our study supports the possibility that some prescriptions may not be captured in US commercial insurance databases.

The purpose of this work was to evaluate systemic glucocorticoid exposure and fracture among patients with newly-diagnosed inflammatory and immune-modulated conditions. Using administrative data, inception cohorts of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), asthma/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), multiple sclerosis (MS), lupus, and sarcoidosis patients age 18 to 64 years with benefits coverage ≥12 months before diagnosis (January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2012) were followed to clinical fracture, cancer diagnosis, or December 31, 2012. Glucocorticoid users were new to therapy. Fracture incidence rates (IRs) per 1000 person-years were stratified by prednisone equivalent doses. Cox's proportional hazards models assessed risk by daily and cumulative dose, and by time since discontinuation, adjusted for baseline characteristics. Most patients (72% of 403,337) had glucocorticoid exposure; 52% were under age 50. IR (95% confidence interval [CI]) of any osteoporotic fracture was elevated at doses <5 mg/day (IR 9.33; 95% CI, 7.29 to 11.77) versus 0 mg/day (IR 4.87 (95% CI, 4.72 to 5.02). Fracture rates were elevated at doses <5 mg/day in patients <50 years and those ≥50 years. In both age groups, fracture risk increased with increasing cumulative exposure, being approximately 2.5-fold higher at cumulative dose ≥5400 mg compared to <675 mg. At ≥5400 mg, IR values were 5.69 (95% CI, 4.32 to 7.35) in patients <50 years and 17.10 (95% CI, 14.97 to 19.46) in older patients. Fracture risk decreased significantly within months following glucocorticoid discontinuation. In patients with a variety of inflammatory conditions, fracture risk increased at doses as low as <5 mg/day. Risk increased with increasing cumulative exposure and decreased soon following glucocorticoid discontinuation. Trends were similar between patients older and younger than 50 years. © 2018 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc.