High-tide flooding reduces customer access to businesses, and impacts are projected to increase sharply with sea level rise.

No abstract

The pelagic Southern Ocean is a high‐nutrient, low‐chlorophyll ecosystem. Here, phytoplankton growth is colimited by iron supply and light availability. This creates a general expectation that when light is available in the austral summer (shallow mixing depths), phytoplankton concentrations may be high or low depending on the delivery of iron to the surface layer. When light is not adequate (deep mixing depths), phytoplankton concentrations will likely be low, even if iron is available. Here we show that low surface kinetic energy behaves like a necessary but not sufficient condition for high chlorophyll concentrations. In high kinetic energy conditions, high chlorophyll concentrations are rare. Conversely, under low kinetic energy conditions, both high and low chlorophyll concentrations were observed. We show that higher kinetic energy conditions are related to deeper mixed layers, which is likely a proxy for local light conditions. Probabilistic models of chlorophyll based on surface kinetic energy were able to describe 30% of the spatial variability in monthly chlorophyll climatologies. This means that local light availability, proxied by mixing through kinetic energy, significantly shapes the spatial distribution of chlorophyll in the Southern Ocean. We suggest that regions with consistently higher kinetic energy may not be as sensitive to iron inputs compared to historic iron addition experiments, which were conducted in low surface kinetic energy conditions.

In this study, time‐lagged composites of OSCAR upper ocean currents from February to May of 1993–2016 were binned by active phase of the leading atmospheric mode of intraseasonal variability, the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO). Seven days after the convectively active phase of the MJO is present in the tropical Indian Ocean, anomalously strong south‐southeastward upper ocean currents are seen along nearly the entire U.S. west coast. Seven days after the convectively active phase is present in the tropical western Pacific Ocean, upper ocean current anomalies reverse along the U.S. west coast, with weaker southward flow. A physical pathway to the ocean was found for both of these phases: (a) tropical MJO convection modulates upper tropospheric heights and circulation over the Pacific Ocean; (b) those anomalous atmospheric heights adjust the strength and position of the Aleutian Low and Hawaiian High; (c) surface winds change in response to the adjusted atmospheric pressure patterns; and (d) those surface winds project onto upper ocean currents.

Like many coastal communities throughout the Mid-Atlantic region, relative sea level rise and accelerating instances of coastal nuisance flooding are having a tangible negative impact on economic activity and infrastructure in Annapolis, MD. The drivers of coastal nuisance flooding, in general, are a superposition of global, regional, and local influences that occur across spatial and temporal scales that determine water levels relative to a coastal datum. Most of the research to date related to coastal flooding has been focused on high impact episodic events, decomposing the global and regional drivers of sea level rise, or assessing seasonal to interannual trends in. In this study, we focus specifically on the role of short-duration (hours) meteorological wind forcing on water level anomalies in Annapolis, MD. Annapolis is an ideal location to study these processes because of the orientation of the coast relative to the prevailing wind directions, and the long record of reliable data observations. Our results suggest that three-, six-, nine-, and twelve-hour sustained wind forcing significantly influences water level anomalies in Annapolis. Sustained wind forcing out of the northeast, east, southeast and south is associated with positive water level anomalies, and sustained wind forcing out of the northwest and north is associated with negative water level anomalies. While these observational results suggest a relationship between sustained wind forcing and water level anomalies, a more robust approach is needed to account for other meteorological variables and drivers that occur across a variety of spatial and temporal scales.