Subtle changes in the directional wave climate driven by changes in large scale climate variability have the potential to result in spatial changes (erosion and accretion) of sandy coastlines due to deviations in longshore sediment transport supply. 50+ years of hindcast offshore directional wave conditions for southeast Queensland, Australia were used to derive yearly wave climates that were input into a spectral wave model to estimate nearshore breaking wave conditions and resulting longshore sediment transport along a 35 km stretch of sandy coastline. The results presented here indicate strong links between these large scale climate indices and estimated longshore transport (0.69 ≤ R ≤ 0.83), such that a simple model derived from knowledge of these indices could be used as a first pass estimate of spatial and temporal variability in longshore sediment transport and resulting large scale coastal evolution.
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