Journal Pre-proof 1 such as ventilators in limited supply, preparations should be made ahead of time on how to allocate these finite resources. More information about COVID-19 can be found in [2], [3], and [7]. The best course of action to "flatten the curve" is to follow WHO guidelines. The best way to keep hospitals under capacity is social distancing: limiting or cancelling large gatherings, only travelling when necessary, and keeping a distance from others all help to prevent the spread. Heuristic predictionThe presented heuristic is based on the exponential growth of the data collected Journal Pre-proof J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 4 WWK, MAM, WP, AW-D, PFZ, DS, TA, AHZ, MD, AND JM by WHO situation reports for days 31 to 57. As pointed out in [4] the predictability could be improved by pairwise comparisons based on abductive reasoning [5]. Abduction is frequently used in diagnostic expert systems. The abductive reasoning (or inference) process was used for this study. It is a type of logical inference which starts with a set of observations and then searches for Journal Pre-proof J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f 1,000,000 COVID-19 CASES

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