A directed acyclic graph (DAG) is the most common graphical model for representing causal relationships among a set of variables. When restricted to using only observational data, the structure of the ground truth DAG is identifiable only up to Markov equivalence, based on conditional independence relations among the variables. Therefore, the number of DAGs equivalent to the ground truth DAG is an indicator of the causal complexity of the underlying structure-roughly speaking, it shows how many interventions or how much additional information is further needed to recover the underlying DAG. In this paper, we propose a new technique for counting the number of DAGs in a Markov equivalence class. Our approach is based on the clique tree representation of chordal graphs. We show that in the case of bounded degree graphs, the proposed algorithm is polynomial time. We further demonstrate that this technique can be utilized for uniform sampling from a Markov equivalence class, which provides a stochastic way to enumerate DAGs in the equivalence class and may be needed for finding the best DAG or for causal inference given the equivalence class as input. We also extend our counting and sampling method to the case where prior knowledge about the underlying DAG is available, and present applications of this extension in causal experiment design and estimating the causal effect of joint interventions.

Automated decision making systems are increasingly being used in real-world applications. In these systems for the most part, the decision rules are derived by minimizing the training error on the available historical data. Therefore, if there is a bias related to a sensitive attribute such as gender, race, religion, etc. in the data, say, due to cultural/historical discriminatory practices against a certain demographic, the system could continue discrimination in decisions by including the said bias in its decision rule. We present an information theoretic framework for designing fair predictors from data, which aim to prevent discrimination against a specified sensitive attribute in a supervised learning setting. We use equalized odds as the criterion for discrimination, which demands that the prediction should be independent of the protected attribute conditioned on the actual label. To ensure fairness and generalization simultaneously, we compress the data to an auxiliary variable, which is used for the prediction task. This auxiliary variable is chosen such that it is decontaminated from the discriminatory attribute in the sense of equalized odds. The final predictor is obtained by applying a Bayesian decision rule to the auxiliary variable.

No abstract

A moment function is called doubly robust if it is comprised of two nuisance functions and the estimator based on it is a consistent estimator of the target parameter even if one of the nuisance functions is misspecified. In this paper, we consider a class of doubly robust moment functions originally introduced in (Robins et al., 2008). We demonstrate that this moment function can be used to construct estimating equations for the nuisance functions. The main idea is to choose each nuisance function such that it minimizes the dependency of the expected value of the moment function to the other nuisance function. We implement this idea as a minimax optimization problem. We then provide conditions required for asymptotic linearity of the estimator of the parameter of interest, which are based on the convergence rate of the product of the errors of the nuisance functions, as well as the local ill-posedness of a conditional expectation operator. The convergence rates of the nuisance functions are analyzed using the modern techniques in statistical learning theory based on the Rademacher complexity of the function spaces. We specifically focus on the case that the function spaces are reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, which enables us to use its spectral properties to analyze the convergence rates. As an application of the proposed methodology, we consider the parameter of average causal effect both in presence and absence of latent confounders. For the case of presence of latent confounders, we use the recently proposed proximal causal inference framework of Tchetgen Tchetgen et al., 2020), and hence our results lead to a robust non-parametric estimator for average causal effect in this framework.

Abstract-To be considered for the 2017 IEEE Jack Keil Wolf ISIT Student Paper Award. -Interaction information is one of the multivariate generalizations of mutual information, which expresses the amount information shared among a set of variables, beyond the information, which is shared in any proper subset of those variables. Unlike (conditional) mutual information, which is always non-negative, interaction information can be negative. We utilize this property to find the direction of causal influences among variables in a triangle topology under some mild assumptions.