Background Biparametric MRI (comprising T2-weighted MRI and apparent diffusion coefficient maps) is increasingly being used to characterise prostate cancer. Although previous studies have combined Prostate Imaging-Reporting & Data System (PI-RADS)-based MRI findings with routinely available clinical variables and with deep learning-based imaging predictors, respectively, for prostate cancer risk stratification, none have combined all three. We aimed to construct an integrated nomogram (referred to as ClaD) combining deep learning-based imaging predictions, PI-RADS scoring, and clinical variables to identify clinically significant prostate cancer on biparametric MRI.Methods In this retrospective multicentre study, we included patients with prostate cancer, with histopathology or biopsy reports and a screening or diagnostic MRI scan in the axial view, from four cohorts in the USA (from University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, Cleveland Clinic, and Long Island Jewish Medical Center) and from the PROSTATEx Challenge dataset in the Netherlands. We constructed an integrated nomogram combining deep learning, PI-RADS score, and clinical variables (prostate-specific antigen, prostate volume, and lesion volume) using multivariable logistic regression to identify clinically significant prostate cancer on biparametric MRI. We used data from the first three cohorts to train the nomogram and data from the remaining two cohorts for independent validation. We compared the performance of our ClaD integrated nomogram with that of integrated nomograms combining clinical variables with either the deep learning-based imaging predictor (referred to as DIN) or PI-RADS score (referred to as PIN) using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs). We also compared the ability of the nomograms to predict biochemical recurrence on a subset of patients who had undergone radical prostatectomy. We report cross-validation AUCs as means for the training set and used AUCs with 95% CIs to assess the performance on the test set. The difference in AUCs between the models were tested for statistical significance using DeLong's test. We used log-rank tests and Kaplan-Meier curves to analyse survival. FindingsWe investigated 592 patients (823 lesions) with prostate cancer who underwent 3T multiparametric MRI at five hospitals in the USA between Jan 8, 2009, and June 3, 2017. The training data set consisted of 368 patients from three sites (the PROSTATEx Challenge cohort [n=204], University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center [n=126], and Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai [n=38]), and the independent validation data set consisted of 224 patients from two sites (Cleveland Clinic [n=151] and Long Island Jewish Medical Center [n=73]). The ClaD clinical nomogram yielded an AUC of 0•81 (95% CI 0•76−0•85) for identification of clinically significant prostate cancer in the validation data set, significantly improving performance over the DIN (0•74 [95% CI 0•69−0•80], p=0•0005) and PIN (0•76...

Background: Prostate cancer (PCa) influences its surrounding habitat, which tends to manifest as different phenotypic appearances on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). This region surrounding the PCa lesion, or the peri-tumoral region, may encode useful information that can complement intra-tumoral information to enable better risk stratification. Purpose: To evaluate the role of peri-tumoral radiomic features on bi-parametric MRI (T2-weighted and Diffusion-weighted) to distinguish PCa risk categories as defined by D’Amico Risk Classification System. Materials and Methods: We studied a retrospective, HIPAA-compliant, 4-institution cohort of 231 PCa patients (n = 301 lesions) who underwent 3T multi-parametric MRI prior to biopsy. PCa regions of interest (ROIs) were delineated on MRI by experienced radiologists following which peri-tumoral ROIs were defined. Radiomic features were extracted within the intra- and peri-tumoral ROIs. Radiomic features differentiating low-risk from: (1) high-risk (L-vs.-H), and (2) (intermediate- and high-risk (L-vs.-I + H)) lesions were identified. Using a multi-institutional training cohort of 151 lesions (D1, N = 116 patients), machine learning classifiers were trained using peri- and intra-tumoral features individually and in combination. The remaining 150 lesions (D2, N = 115 patients) were used for independent hold-out validation and were evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis and compared with PI-RADS v2 scores. Results: Validation on D2 using peri-tumoral radiomics alone resulted in areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) of 0.84 and 0.73 for the L-vs.-H and L-vs.-I + H classifications, respectively. The best combination of intra- and peri-tumoral features resulted in AUCs of 0.87 and 0.75 for the L-vs.-H and L-vs.-I + H classifications, respectively. This combination improved the risk stratification results by 3–6% compared to intra-tumoral features alone. Our radiomics-based model resulted in a 53% accuracy in differentiating L-vs.-H compared to PI-RADS v2 (48%), on the validation set. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that peri-tumoral radiomic features derived from prostate bi-parametric MRI add independent predictive value to intra-tumoral radiomic features for PCa risk assessment.

Background We developed and validated an integrated radiomic-clinicopathologic nomogram (RadClip) for post-surgical biochemical recurrence free survival (bRFS) and adverse pathology (AP) prediction in men with prostate cancer (PCa). RadClip was further compared against extant prognostics tools like CAPRA and Decipher. Methods A retrospective study of 198 patients with PCa from four institutions who underwent pre-operative 3 Tesla MRI followed by radical prostatectomy, between 2009 and 2017 with a median 35-month follow-up was performed. Radiomic features were extracted from prostate cancer regions on bi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging (bpMRI). Cox Proportional-Hazards (CPH) model warped with minimum redundancy maximum relevance (MRMR) feature selection was employed to select bpMRI radiomic features for bRFS prediction in the training set (D 1 , N = 71). In addition, a bpMRI radiomic risk score (RadS) and associated nomogram, RadClip, were constructed in D 1 and then compared against the Decipher, pre-operative (CAPRA), and post-operative (CAPRA-S) nomograms for bRFS and AP prediction in the testing set (D 2 , N = 127). Findings “RadClip yielded a higher C-index (0.77, 95% CI 0.65-0.88) compared to CAPRA (0.68, 95% CI 0.57-0.8) and Decipher (0.51, 95% CI 0.33-0.69) and was found to be comparable to CAPRA-S (0.75, 95% CI 0.65-0.85). RadClip resulted in a higher AUC (0.71, 95% CI 0.62-0.81) for predicting AP compared to Decipher (0.66, 95% CI 0.56-0.77) and CAPRA (0.69, 95% CI 0.59-0.79).” Interpretation RadClip was more prognostic of bRFS and AP compared to Decipher and CAPRA. It could help pre-operatively identify PCa patients at low risk of biochemical recurrence and AP and who therefore might defer additional therapy. Funding The National Institutes of Health, the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, and the Department of Defense.

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