Articles Earth is undergoing profound changes in climate, ecology, culture, and technology (MEA 2005). Moreover, changes that occur in one place often have far-flung consequences because of biophysical connections (by oceans, atmosphere, and migratory animals) and human linkages (through high-speed communication, global markets, and human travel). These global changes challenge our capacity to sustain the desirable features of the local systems in which we live for at least three reasons : (1) It is impossible to preserve a system in its current state when the factors that control its basic structure and function are changing directionally (i.e., show a persistent trend over time). (2) Many processes that concern policymakers at local or regional scales respond to changes occurring at other scales, over which they have little influence. (3) Diverse actors want to sustain different, sometimes conflicting, local and regional features in the face of directional change. For these reasons, global change has created "wicked problems" for society that are difficult or impossible to solve within current management and policy paradigms. If wicked problems cannot be solved without a shift in paradigm, incremental approaches to improving conditions may be insufficient to address major societal issues. What is a wicked problem, and why is it difficult to solve?The concept of wicked problems was developed by community planners to describe social problems (e.g., poverty) that are so complex that people disagree about how to define and solve them; in addition, efforts to solve the focal problem
Human activities are altering many factors that determine the fundamental properties of ecological and social systems. Is sustainability a realistic goal in a world in which many key process controls are directionally changing? To address this issue, we integrate several disparate sources of theory to address sustainability in directionally changing social-ecological systems, apply this framework to climate-warming impacts in Interior Alaska, and describe a suite of policy strategies that emerge from these analyses. Climate warming in Interior Alaska has profoundly affected factors that influence landscape processes (climate regulation and disturbance spread) and natural hazards, but has only indirectly influenced ecosystem goods such as food, water, and wood that receive most management attention. Warming has reduced cultural services provided by ecosystems, leading to some of the few institutional responses that directly address the causes of climate warming, e.g., indigenous initiatives to the Arctic Council. Four broad policy strategies emerge: (i) enhancing human adaptability through learning and innovation in the context of changes occurring at multiple scales; (ii) increasing resilience by strengthening negative (stabilizing) feedbacks that buffer the system from change and increasing options for adaptation through biological, cultural, and economic diversity; (iii) reducing vulnerability by strengthening institutions that link the high-latitude impacts of climate warming to their low-latitude causes; and (iv) facilitating transformation to new, potentially more beneficial states by taking advantage of opportunities created by crisis. Each strategy provides societal benefits, and we suggest that all of them be pursued simultaneously.adaptability ͉ Alaska ͉ climate change ͉ resilience ͉ vulnerability T he world is undergoing rapid change in many of the factors that control the properties of ecosystems. In the last 50 years, humans have changed ecosystems more rapidly and extensively than during any comparable period of human history, with even more rapid and extensive changes projected for the next half century and beyond (1, 2). For example, human activities have substantially altered climate, the hydrologic cycle, biodiversity, land cover, the use of biological productivity, and the cycling of nitrogen at global scales (3). People have always profoundly influenced their environment (4). However, the recent increase in the magnitude and extent of these impacts raises serious challenges to sustaining earth's life support systems, the services that ecosystems provide to society (5). These ecosystem services contribute fundamentally to human well-being, i.e., the basic material needs for a good life, freedom and choice, good social relations, and personal security (6).Given the importance and difficulty of fostering sustainability in a world with an uncertain future, many approaches are being explored (7-10). In this article, we integrate several of these approaches. We argue that, by understanding the linka...
Arctic land ice is melting, sea ice is decreasing, and permafrost is thawing. Changes in these Arctic elements are interconnected, and most interactions accelerate the rate of change. The changes affect infrastructure, economics, and cultures of people inside and outside of the Arctic, including in temperate and tropical regions, through sea level rise, worsening storm and hurricane impacts, and enhanced warming. Coastal communities worldwide are already experiencing more regular flooding, drinking water contamination, and coastal erosion. We describe and summarize the nature of change for Arctic permafrost, land ice, and sea ice, and its influences on lower latitudes, particularly the United States. We emphasize that impacts will worsen in the future unless individuals, businesses, communities, and policy makers proactively engage in mitigation and adaptation activities to reduce the effects of Arctic changes and safeguard people and society.
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