Resumo: O paper tem por objetivo analisar as raízes da inflação brasileira e a estratégia de condução da política monetária no Brasil via Regime de Metas de Inflação. Para tanto, realiza-se uma análise com Vetores Autorregressivos (VAR), utilizando dados da economia brasileira no período de 1999 a 2013. Os resultados demonstraram que a inflação no País é resultado de um conjunto de problemas, cujas causas não são exclusivamente provenientes do lado da demanda, o que torna o RMI pouco eficiente e muito custoso para combater a dinâmica da inflação verificada na economia brasileira. Assim, torna-se necessário repensar a estratégia de condução da inflação a meta estabelecida pelo Banco Central do Brasil, de modo a combater de forma mais eficaz as várias causas da inflação sem comprometer o potencial de crescimento da economia brasileira.Palavras-chave: Meta de Inflação. Crescimento Econômico. Vetores Autorregressivos. Teoria Pós-Keynesiana. Brasil. Classificação JEL: E31, E52, E58. Abstract:The paper aims to analyze the roots of high inflation and the strategy of the Inflation Target Regime in Brazil`s monetary policy. In order to achieve this, we conduct an analysis with Vector Autorregressive Models(VAR), using data of Brazilian economy in the period from 1999 to 2013. The paper concludes that Brazilian inflation is the result of various problems, whose roots are not exclusively located on the demand side, which makes the Inflation Target Regime inefficient and very expensive in combating inflation observed in the Brazilian economy, considering that it does not control the supply side inflation. Thus, it becomes necessary to rethink the strategy driving the Inflation Target Regime used by Brazilian Central Bank, so to confront each of the causes of inflation without compromising the economic potential growth of the Brazilian economy.
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