We introduce a general model of continuous-time opinion dynamics for an arbitrary number of agents that communicate over a network and form real-valued opinions about an arbitrary number of options. Drawing inspiration from models in biology, physics, and social psychology, we apply a sigmoidal saturating function to inter-agent and intra-agent exchanges of opinions. The saturating function is the only nonlinearity in the model, yet we prove how it yields rapid and reliable formation of consensus, dissensus, and opinion cascades as a function of just a few parameters. We further show how the network opinion dynamics exhibit both robustness to disturbance and ultrasensitivity to inputs. We design feedback dynamics for system parameters that enable active tuning of implicit thresholds in opinion formation for sensitivity to inputs, robustness to changes in input, opinion cascades, and flexible transitions between consensus and dissensus. The general model can be used for systematic control design in a range of engineering problems including network systems, multi-robot coordination, task allocation, and decision making for spatial navigation. It can also be used for systematic examination of questions in biology and social science ranging from cognitive control and networks in the brain to resilience in collective animal behavior to changing environmental conditions to information spreading and political polarization in social networks.
Using a general model of opinion dynamics, we conduct a systematic investigation of key mechanisms driving elite polarization in the United States. We demonstrate that the self-reinforcing nature of elite-level processes can explain this polarization, with voter preferences accounting for its asymmetric nature. Our analysis suggests that subtle differences in the frequency and amplitude with which public opinion shifts left and right over time may have a differential effect on the self-reinforcing processes of elites, causing Republicans to polarize more quickly than Democrats. We find that as self-reinforcement approaches a critical threshold, polarization speeds up. Republicans appear to have crossed that threshold while Democrats are currently approaching it.
When communicating agents form opinions about a set of possible options, agreement and disagreement are both possible outcomes. Depending on the context, either can be desirable or undesirable. We show that for nonlinear opinion dynamics on networks, and a variety of network structures, the spectral properties of the underlying adjacency matrix fully characterize the occurrence of either agreement or disagreement. We further show how the corresponding eigenvector centrality, as well as any symmetry in the network, informs the resulting patterns of opinion formation and agent sensitivity to input that triggers opinion cascades.
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