To determine the contribution of independent variables to the dependant variable of loss of primary functional patency, a multivariable analysis using logistic regression was performed.Results: The incidence of primary failure was 10% (81 of 831). Multivariable analysis found that older age (>65 years, odds ratio [OR] 3.6, P < 0.001), history of diabetes (OR 2.3, P ‫؍‬ 0.007), history of smoking (OR 4.3, P < 0.001), presence of forearm fistulas (OR 4.0, P < 0.001), and low initial IABF (<500 ml/min, OR 29, P < 0.001) were independently associated with loss of primary patency.Conclusions: The set of patient risk factors identified in this study, particularly initial IABF, can be used to identify patients who are most at risk for developing vascular access failure and to guide a more directed approach for a vascular access screening protocol.

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AVGs are sometimes a better choice for those patients in which the time to and probability of successful fistula maturation may be a concern. Close monitoring of AVGs in patients with the identified risk factors associated with loss of primary patency may improve the life expectancy of the access.