Tsunami hazard in the Makran Subduction Zone (MSZ), off the southern coasts of Iran and Pakistan, was studied by numerical modeling of historical tsunami in this region. Although the MSZ triggered the second deadliest tsunami in the Indian Ocean, among those known, the tsunami hazard in this region has yet to be analyzed in detail. This paper reports the results of a risk analysis using five scenario events based on the historic records, and identifies a seismic gap area in western Makran off the southern coast of Iran. This is a possible site for a future large earthquake and tsunami. In addition, we performed numerical modeling to explain some ambiguities in the historical reports. Based on the modeling results, we conclude that either the extreme run-up of 12-15 m assigned for the 1945 Makran tsunami in the historical record was produced by a submarine landslide triggered by the parent earthquake, or that these reports are exaggerated. The other possibility could be the generation of the huge run-up heights by large displacements on splay faults. The results of run-up modeling reveal that a large earthquake and tsunami in the MSZ is capable of producing considerable run-up heights in the far field. Therefore, it is possible that the MSZ was the source of the tsunami encountered by a Portuguese fleet in Dabhul in 1524.
A signal-based pattern-recognition approach is used for structural damage diagnosis with a single or limited number of input/output signals. The approach is based on extraction of the features of the structural response that present a unique pattern for each specific damage case. In this study, frequency-based features and time-frequency-based features were extracted from measured vibration signals by Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) and Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) to form onedimensional or two-dimensional patterns, respectively. Three pattern-matching algorithms including correlation, least square distance, and Cosh spectral distance were investigated for pattern-matching. To demonstrate the validity of the approach, numerical and experimental studies were conducted on a simple three-story steel building.Results showed that features of the signal for different damage scenarios could be uniquely identified by these transformations, and suitable correlation algorithms could perform pattern matching that identified both damage location and damage severity. Meanwhile, statistical issues for more complex structures as well as the choice of wavelet functions are discussed.
Deterioration of structures due to aging, cumulative crack growth or excessive response significantly affects the performance and safety of structures during their service life. Recently, signal-based methods have received many attentions for structural health monitoring and damage detection. These methods examine changes in the features derived directly from the measured time histories or their corresponding spectra through proper signal processing methods and algorithms to detect damage. Based on different signal processing techniques for feature extraction, these methods are classified into time-domain methods, frequency-domain methods, and time-frequency (or time-scale)-domain methods. As an enhancement for feature extraction, selection and classification, pattern recognition techniques are deeply integrated into signal-based damage detection. This paper provided an overview of these methods based on two aspects: (1) feature extraction and selection, and (2) pattern recognition. Signal-based methods are particularly more effective for structures with complicated nonlinear behavior and the incomplete, incoherent, and noise-contaminated measurements of structural response.
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