IntroductionThe prevalence of diabetes in Kazakhstan has reached epidemic proportions, and this disease is becoming a major financial burden. In this research, regression analysis methods were employed to build models for predicting the number of diabetic patients in Kazakhstan in 2019, as this should aid the costing and policy-making performed by medical institutions and governmental offices regarding diabetes prevention and treatment strategies.MethodsA brief review of mathematical models that are potentially useful for the task of interest was performed, and the most suitable methods for building predictive models were selected. The chosen models were applied to explore the correlation between population growth and the number of patients with diabetes as well as the correlation between the increase in gross regional product and the growth in the number of patients with diabetes. Moreover, the relationship of population growth and gross domestic product with the growth in the number of patients with diabetes in Kazakhstan was determined. Our research made use of the scikit-learn library for the Python programming language and functions for regression analysis built into the Microsoft Excel software.ResultsThe predictive models indicated that the prevalence of diabetes in Kazakhstan will increase in 2019.ConclusionMathematical models were used to find patterns in a comprehensive statistical dataset on registered diabetes patients in Kazakhstan over the last 15 years, and these patterns were then used to build models that can accurately predict the prevalence of diabetes in Kazakhstan.
Corruption is one of the main problems in many developing countries. However, the complexity of measuring corruption and its consequences does not allow for its complete study and implementation of measures. The factors and indicators currently known worldwide cannot measure corruption on time scales and depend on a narrow circle of experts in this area. Thus, corruption is easily confused with institutional gaps. In modern society, where the technologies such as Data Science and Predictive Analytics play a huge role, corruption is still omnipresent. The article examines the priority areas of combating corruption using new digital technologies. The main direction of the article is defined as an analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of the digitalization in the areas of solving social conflicts. The article presents the comparative analysis of technologies of digital anti-corruption compliance in developing countries, on the example of Kazakhstan. At the same time, according to the results, the article discusses the disadvantages of using proposed models due to the peculiarities of the legislation.
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