Dengue is a public health problem with around 390 million cases annually and is caused by four distinct serotypes. Infection by one of the serotypes provides lifelong immunity to that serotype but have a higher chance of attracting the more dangerous forms of dengue in subsequent infections. Therefore, a perfect strategy against dengue is required. Dengue vaccine with 42-80% efficacy level has been licensed for the use in reducing disease transmission. However, this may increase the likelihood of obtaining the dangerous forms of dengue. In this paper, we have developed single and two-serotype dengue mathematical models to investigate the effects of vaccination on dengue transmission dynamics. The model is validated against dengue data from Kupang city, Indonesia. We investigate the effects of vaccination on seronegative and seropositive individuals and perform a global sensitivity analysis to determine the most influential parameters of the model. A sensitivity analysis suggests that the vaccination rate, the transmission probability and the biting rate have greater effects on the reduction of the proportion of dengue cases. Interestingly, with vaccine implementation, the mosquito-related parameters do not have significant impact on the reduction in the proportion of dengue cases. If the vaccination is implemented on seronegative individuals only, it may increase the likelihood of obtaining the severe dengue. To reduce the proportion of severe dengue cases, it is better to vaccinate seropositive individuals. In the context of Kupang City where the majority of individuals have been infected by at least one dengue serotype, the implementation of vaccination strategy is possible. However, understanding the serotype-specific differences is required to optimise the delivery of the intervention.
The use of a vaccine and Wolbachia bacterium have been proposed as new strategies against dengue. However, the performance of Wolbachia in reducing dengue incidence may depend on the Wolbachia strains. Therefore, in this paper, the performance of two Wolbachia strains which are WMel and WAu, in combination with the vaccine, has been assessed by using an age-dependent mathematical model. An effective reproduction number has been calculated using the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) algorithm. The results revealed that the time reproduction number varies overtime with the highest one being around 2.75. Moreover, it has also found that use of the vaccine and Wolbachia possibly leads to dengue elimination. Furthermore, vaccination on one group only reduces dengue incidence in that group but dengue infection in the other group is still high. Furthermore, the performance of the WAu strain is better than the WMel strain in reducing dengue incidence. However, both strains can still be used for dengue elimination strategies depending on the level of loss of Wolbachia infections in both strains.
South Central Timor (TTS) is one of the districts that has a weaving culture and also produces woven cloth in East Nusa Tenggara. The many types of woven fabric from each TTS tribe makes outsiders and even native TTS people do not recognize the typical TTS woven fabric, therefore we need a system that can help facilitate the community in recognizing the type and motif of woven fabric. In this study, digital image processing is used to identify the type of woven fabric in the TTS district using the HSV color feature extraction method, and the GLCM texture feature, and to measure the similarity of woven fabric using the Euclidean distance method. The image data of the woven fabric used is the image of woven fabric from 3 tribes of TTS district, namely the Amanatun, Amanuban, and Mollo tribes. Identification of woven fabric motifs using the K-fold cross validation test with two stages, namely the training and testing stages. The results of testing variants using 10 fold get an accuracy rate for GLCM texture features of 55%, for HSV color features of 62.5% and a combination of color and texture features of 91.67%.
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