The ultrashort-term wind power prediction (USTWPP) technology assists the grid to arrange spare capacity, which is important to optimize power investment reasonably. To improve the accuracy of USTWPP and optimize power investment requirements, a USTWPP method with dynamic switching of multiple models is proposed. For high wind speed fluctuation samples, the wind speed-power curve (WSPC) is fitted in a large sample of historical data, and the corrected wind speed is the input of WSPC. The spatiotemporal attentive network model (STAN) is built for the prediction of low wind speed fluctuation samples. According to the real-time fluctuation characteristics of the correction wind speed, a switching mechanism between multiple models is established to reconstruct the prediction results along the time axis direction, and the predicted power is set to zero for the samples whose correction wind speed is lower than the cut-in wind speed. We conducted simulation experiments with data provided by a wind farm with an installed capacity of 130.5 MW in China. The normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) for the 4 h ahead predicted power reaches 0.0907, which verified the validity and applicability of the proposed model.
In this study, the security secondary control problems are considered for optimal current sharing and voltage restoration of a microgrid distribution network under false data injection (FDI) attacks. To solve these problems, a resilient secondary control method is provided. Specifically, a resilient secondary controller is designed by introducing an adaptive parameter based on the adaptive technique. Then, a theoretical analysis method is provided to show that the designed resilient secondary controller can ensure optimal current sharing and voltage regulation under FDI attacks.
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