Several observational studies have confirmed the relationship between thyroid hormones and Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), but this correlation remains controversial. We performed a two-sample Mendelian Randomization (MR) analysis based on the public available largest summary datasets. Summary statistics with 49,269 individuals for free thyroxine (FT4) and 54,288 for thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) were used as exposure instruments. Genome-wide association studies of the susceptibility (N = 1,644,784), hospitalization (N = 1,887,672) and very severe disease (N = 1,383,241) of COVID-19 were used as the outcome. We used the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method as the primary analysis, and MR-Egger regression, weighted median, and Robust Adjusted Profile Score (RAPS) were utilized as sensitivity analysis. Genetic predisposition to higher serum levels FT4 within the normal range was negatively associated with the risk of COVID-19 hospitalization (OR = 0.818; 95%CI = 0.718-0.932; P = 2.6 × 10-3) and very severe disease (OR = 0.758; 95%CI = 0.626-0.923; P = 5.8 × 10-3), but not susceptibility. There is no evidence that genetically predicted circulating TSH levels are associated with COVID-19 susceptibility and severity risk. Neither apparent pleiotropy nor heterogeneity were detected in the sensitivity analysis. In summary, we found that higher FT4 levels may reduce the risk of COVID-19 severity, suggesting that thyroid function testing may be required for patients with COVID-19.
BackgroundThe liver is the most common site of distant metastasis in rectal cancer, and liver metastasis dramatically affects the treatment strategy of patients. This study aimed to develop and validate a clinical prediction model based on machine learning algorithms to predict the risk of liver metastasis in patients with rectal cancer.MethodsWe integrated two rectal cancer cohorts from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) and Chinese multicenter hospitals from 2010-2017. We also built and validated liver metastasis prediction models for rectal cancer using six machine learning algorithms, including random forest (RF), light gradient boosting (LGBM), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), multilayer perceptron (MLP), logistic regression (LR), and K-nearest neighbor (KNN). The models were evaluated by combining several metrics, such as the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy score, sensitivity, specificity and F1 score. Finally, we created a network calculator using the best model.ResultsThe study cohort consisted of 19,958 patients from the SEER database and 924 patients from two hospitals in China. The AUC values of the six prediction models ranged from 0.70 to 0.95. The XGB model showed the best predictive power, with the following metrics assessed in the internal test set: AUC (0.918), accuracy (0.884), sensitivity (0.721), and specificity (0.787). The XGB model was assessed in the outer test set with the following metrics: AUC (0.926), accuracy (0.919), sensitivity (0.740), and specificity (0.765). The XGB algorithm also shows a good fit on the calibration decision curves for both the internal test set and the external validation set. Finally, we constructed an online web calculator using the XGB model to help generalize the model and to assist physicians in their decision-making better.ConclusionWe successfully developed an XGB-based machine learning model to predict liver metastasis from rectal cancer, which was also validated with a real-world dataset. Finally, we developed a web-based predictor to guide clinical diagnosis and treatment strategies better.
Lung cancer has very high morbidity and mortality worldwide, and the prognosis is not optimistic. Previous treatments for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) have limited efficacy, and targeted drugs for some gene mutations have been used in NSCLC with considerable efficacy. The RET proto-oncogene is located on the long arm of chromosome 10 with a length of 60,000 bp, and the expression of RET gene affects cell survival, proliferation, growth and differentiation. This review will describe the basic characteristics and common fusion methods of RET genes; analyze the advantages and disadvantages of different RET fusion detection methods; summarize and discuss the recent application of non-selective and selective RET fusion-positive inhibitors, such as Vandetanib, Selpercatinib, Pralsetinib and Alectinib; discuss the mechanism and coping strategies of resistance to RET fusion-positive inhibitors.
BackgroundMetastasis in the lungs is common in patients with rectal cancer, and it can have severe consequences on their survival and quality of life. Therefore, it is essential to identify patients who may be at risk of developing lung metastasis from rectal cancer.MethodsIn this study, we utilized eight machine-learning methods to create a model for predicting the risk of lung metastasis in patients with rectal cancer. Our cohort consisted of 27,180 rectal cancer patients selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2017 for model development. Additionally, we validated our models using 1118 rectal cancer patients from a Chinese hospital to evaluate model performance and generalizability. We assessed our models’ performance using various metrics, including the area under the curve (AUC), the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPR), the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC), decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration curves. Finally, we applied the best model to develop a web-based calculator for predicting the risk of lung metastasis in patients with rectal cancer.ResultOur study employed tenfold cross-validation to assess the performance of eight machine-learning models for predicting the risk of lung metastasis in patients with rectal cancer. The AUC values ranged from 0.73 to 0.96 in the training set, with the extreme gradient boosting (XGB) model achieving the highest AUC value of 0.96. Moreover, the XGB model obtained the best AUPR and MCC in the training set, reaching 0.98 and 0.88, respectively. We found that the XGB model demonstrated the best predictive power, achieving an AUC of 0.87, an AUPR of 0.60, an accuracy of 0.92, and a sensitivity of 0.93 in the internal test set. Furthermore, the XGB model was evaluated in the external test set and achieved an AUC of 0.91, an AUPR of 0.63, an accuracy of 0.93, a sensitivity of 0.92, and a specificity of 0.93. The XGB model obtained the highest MCC in the internal test set and external validation set, with 0.61 and 0.68, respectively. Based on the DCA and calibration curve analysis, the XGB model had better clinical decision-making ability and predictive power than the other seven models. Lastly, we developed an online web calculator using the XGB model to assist doctors in making informed decisions and to facilitate the model’s wider adoption (https://share.streamlit.io/woshiwz/rectal_cancer/main/lung.py).ConclusionIn this study, we developed an XGB model based on clinicopathological information to predict the risk of lung metastasis in patients with rectal cancer, which may help physicians make clinical decisions.
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