Every year, influenza causes high morbidity and mortality especially among the immunocompromised persons worldwide. The emergence of drug resistance has been a major challenge in curbing the spread of influenza. In this paper, a mathematical model is formulated and used to analyze the transmission dynamics of influenza A virus having incorporated the aspect of drug resistance. The qualitative analysis of the model is given in terms of the control reproduction number, Rc. The model equilibria are computed and stability analysis carried out. The model is found to exhibit backward bifurcation prompting the need to lower Rc to a critical value Rc∗ for effective disease control. Sensitivity analysis results reveal that vaccine efficacy is the parameter with the most control over the spread of influenza. Numerical simulations reveal that despite vaccination reducing the reproduction number below unity, influenza still persists in the population. Hence, it is essential, in addition to vaccination, to apply other strategies to curb the spread of influenza.
Influenza and pneumonia independently lead to high morbidity and mortality annually among the human population globally; however, a glaring fact is that influenza pneumonia coinfection is more vicious and it is a threat to public health. Emergence of antiviral resistance is a major impediment in the control of the coinfection. In this paper, a deterministic mathematical model illustrating the transmission dynamics of influenza pneumonia coinfection is formulated having incorporated antiviral resistance. Optimal control theory is then applied to investigate optimal strategies for controlling the coinfection using prevalence reduction and treatment as the system control variables. Pontryagin’s maximum principle is used to characterize the optimal control. The derived optimality system is solved numerically using the Runge–Kutta-based forward-backward sweep method. Simulation results reveal that implementation of prevention measures is sufficient to eradicate influenza pneumonia coinfection from a given population. The prevention measures could be social distancing, vaccination, curbing mutation and reassortment, and curbing interspecies movement of the influenza virus.
In this research study, fluid flow through a cylindrical collapsible tube has been investigated. Of particular interest is the effect of flow parameters on the cross sectional area of a collapsible tube, flow velocity and internal pressure of the fluid. The flow parameters considered are longitudinal tension and volumetric flow rate. The tube is considered collapsible in the transverse direction, taken to be perpendicular to the main flow direction. Collapse happens when external pressure exceeds internal pressure and hence the tube results to a highly noncircular cross sectional area. The fluid flow in consideration is steady and incompressible. Equations governing the flow are non-linear and cannot be solved analytically. Therefore an approximate solution to the equations has been determined numerically. In this case, finite difference method has been used. A computer program has then been used to generate the results which are presented in form of graphs. The results show that the longitudinal tension is directly proportional to both the cross sectional area and internal pressure and inversely proportional to the flow velocity and that change in volumetric flow rate has no effect on the cross sectional area but it is directly proportional to the flow velocity and inversely proportional to the internal pressure.
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