Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in September 2017The Levy Economics Institute Working Paper Collection presents research in progress by Levy Institute scholars and conference participants. The purpose of the series is to disseminate ideas to and elicit comments from academics and professionals.Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, founded in 1986, is a nonprofit, nonpartisan, independently funded research organization devoted to public service. Through scholarship and economic research it generates viable, effective public policy responses to important economic problems that profoundly affect the quality of life in the United States and abroad.
RESUMO: Este trabalho apresenta os resultados da aplicação da Teoria da Fragilidade Financeira (TIF) de Minsky ao setor de distribuição de energia elétrica no Brasil. Essa teoria permite identificar o risco de as empresas conseguirem saldar de forma sustentada suas dívidas em condições adversas de mercado. A TIF disponibiliza uma taxonomia que classifica as firmas conforme o nível de seu risco financeiro. Este trabalho adapta os indicadores e a taxonomia da TIF às condições do setor de distribuição de energia elétrica e os aplica aos dados da contabilidade regulatória de mais de 60 empresas entre 2007 e 2015. Constitui uma iniciativa original pela sua aplicação a um setor específico da economia e também a um setor regulado pelo governo. Há estudos que contemplam essa mesma linha aplicada de pesquisa, entretanto essa literatura tem predominantemente uma preocupação diferente, de natureza macroeconômica. Os resultados mostram um aumento substantivo da fragilidade financeira das distribuidoras do setor elétrico brasileiro ao longo do período analisado.PALAVRAS-CHAVE: fragilidade financeira; Minsky; teoria da instabilidade financeira; distribuição de energia elétrica; Brasil. CLASSIFICAÇÃO JEL: G31; G38; L59; L94. Correspondência para: Ernani Teixeira Torres Filho Contato: ernanit@hotmail.com FILHO, E. T. T.; MIAGUTI, C.; MARTINS, N. Minsky e a fragilidade financeira das distribuidoras do setor elétrico brasileiro 2ABSTRACT: This paper applies Hyman Minsky's Financial Fragility Theory (FFT) to analyze the sector of power distribution in Brazil. This theory provides a methodology to classify companies according to the risk of defaulting when facing adverse market conditions. This work adapts the FFT's indicators and taxonomy to the conditions of the electricity distribution sector and applies them to the regulatory accounting data of more than 60 companies between 2007 and 2015. This work gives an original contribution as the major part of the literature of applied studies in the Minskyian tradition has a macroeconomic focus. Differently, this article analyses the sectoral level and works with a government-regulated sector. The results show an increase in the financial fragility of these power distribution firms throughout the period. KEYWORDS: financial fragility; Minsky; theory of financial instability; electric energy distribution; Brazil.FILHO, E. T. T.; MIAGUTI, C.; MARTINS, N. Minsky e a fragilidade financeira das distribuidoras do setor elétrico brasileiro 3
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