Fatigue analysis is of great significance for thin-walled structures in the spacecraft industry to ensure their service reliability during operation. Due to the complex loadings of thin-walled structures under thermal–structural–acoustic coupling conditions, the calculation cost of finite element (FE) simulations is relatively expensive. To improve the computational efficiency of dynamic reliability analysis on thin-walled structures to within acceptable accuracy, a novel probabilistic approach named DC-ILSSVR was developed, in which the rotation matrix optimization (RMO) method was used to initially search for the model parameters of least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR). The distributed collaborative (DC) strategy was then introduced to enhance the efficiency of a component suffering from multiple failure modes. Moreover, a numerical example with respect to thin-walled structures was used to validate the proposed method. The results showed that RMO performed on LS-SVR model parameters provided competitive prediction accuracy, and hence the reliability analysis efficiency of thin-walled pipe was significantly improved.

No abstract