Objective: HIV testing services (HTS) are a crucial component of national HIV responses. Learning one's HIV diagnosis is the entry point to accessing life-saving antiretroviral treatment and care. Recognizing the critical role of HTS, the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) launched the 90-90-90 targets stipulating that by 2020, 90% of people living with HIV know their status, 90% of those who know their status receive antiretroviral therapy, and 90% of those on treatment have a suppressed viral load. Countries will need to regularly monitor progress on these three indicators. Estimating the proportion of people living with HIV who know their status (i.e., the "first 90"), however, is difficult.
Methods:We developed a mathematical model (henceforth referred to as "F90") that formally synthesizes population-based survey and HTS program data to estimate HIV status awareness over time. The proposed model uses country-specific HIV epidemic parameters from the standard UNAIDS Spectrum model to produce outputs that are consistent with other national HIV estimates. The F90 model provides estimates of HIV testing history, diagnosis rates, and knowledge of HIV status by age and sex. We validate the F90 model using both in-sample comparisons and out-of-sample predictions using data from three countries: Côte d'Ivoire, Malawi, and Mozambique. Results: In-sample comparisons suggest that the F90 model can accurately reproduce longitudinal sex-specific trends in HIV testing. Out-of-sample predictions of the fraction of PLHIV ever tested over a 4-to-6-year time horizon are also in good agreement with empirical survey estimates. Importantly, out-of-sample predictions of HIV knowledge are consistent (i.e., within 4% points) with those of the fully calibrated model in the three countries, when HTS program data are included. The F90 model's predictions of knowledge of status are higher than available selfreported HIV awareness estimates, however, suggesting -in line with previous studies-that these self-reports could be affected by non-disclosure of HIV status awareness. Conclusion: Knowledge of HIV status is a key indicator to monitor progress, identify bottlenecks, and target HIV responses. The F90 model can help countries track progress towards their "first 90" by leveraging surveys of HIV testing behaviors and annual HTS program data.
This study modeled the presence of Ebola virus RNA in the semen of male Ebola survivors participating in the Postebogui study in Guinea. The median time of reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction negativity was 46.4 days after symptom onset (95% confidence interval, 11-82.6). The results emphasize the importance of the World Health Organization recommendations for survivors' management.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.