The projected potential distributions provide a theoretical basis for quarantine and control strategies for the management of this pest in each country. Furthermore, these results provide substantial guidance for studies of the effects of climate change on other major forest pests. © 2018 Society of Chemical Industry.

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Forestation as part of the Returning Farmland to Forest Project was implemented to mitigate soil erosion in southwestern China. However, whether forestation has effectively reduced soil erosion in southwestern China remains unclear, mostly because of the lack of monitoring forest cover change and soil erosion at watershed scales. We interpreted forest cover change from satellite images and simulated soil erosion changes for the period of 1986–2018 in the Chong’an River Basin with the Water and Tillage Erosion Model and Sediment Delivery Model. Our results show that the change in forest cover has the highest correlation coefficient with the sediment yield in the watershed, with an obvious inverse phase relationship between them for all the simulated years. From 2002 to 2014, large-scale forestation and frequent droughts caused the forest cover to vary, resulting in significant changes in the annual soil erosion amount. Because crevices favoring tree growth are more developed in limestone than in dolomite, the forest cover reduction on dolomite is significantly higher than that on limestone under severe droughts in karst areas. Our study implied that the function of forestation in preventing soil erosion depends on lithology in karst areas.

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