Our primary aim is to examine whether US macroeconomic surprises affect the slope of the term structure of ‘sovereign credit default swap’ (SCDS) spreads in emerging markets. Our empirical results show that positive (negative) US macroeconomic surprises are likely to reduce (increase) the term structure slope of SCDS spreads in emerging countries. We find that the slope values in emerging markets are positively related to future market returns over 1‐ and 2‐day horizons. Our results provide general support for the future informational role played by SCDS spreads for the national stock market within emerging markets.
This study investigates the relationship between stock short‐selling restrictions and bearish equity warrants on the Taiwan Stock Exchange to clarify the substitutive role of put warrants for underlying stocks subject to short‐sale constraints. We show that put warrant transactions increase when short selling is prohibited in the spot market and the substitutive increase in trading also leads to wider bid–ask spreads and higher implied volatility for put warrants. Moreover, we find that the increased trading activities in put warrants could subsequently affect spot market trading through warrant issuers' required dynamic hedging behaviors.
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