We present a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) to guide decision-making for selection of rock fall protection strategies. The analysis corresponds to a section of highway near Canmore, Alberta, Canada; where rock falls are common. Environmental concerns, tourism, and economic activities overlap the project area, which increased the complexity of the decision-making process. QRA was adopted to improve highway user safety and minimize effects on natural, social, and economic environments. Uncertainty was associated with hazard and consequence quantification, and the study elicited plausible ranges of input variables for risk calculation. Expected and range in risk were calculated for current conditions and after mitigation. Individual risk to highway users was found to be low, following the limited exposure of any particular individual. Current total risk was calculated at 2.9 × 10−4 probability of fatality and a plausible range between 2.0 × 10−5 and 5.5 × 10−3. The slope protection configuration selected had a residual total risk between 9.0 × 10−4 and 2.9 × 10−6, and a best estimate of 4.5 × 10−5. The risk levels were evaluated against criteria previously used in Canada and were considered an appropriate balance between project costs, public safety, environmental concerns, tourism, and economic activities after mitigation.
The design of rockfall protection structures requires information about the falling block volumes. Computational tools for rockfall trajectory simulation are now capable of modeling block fragmentation, requiring the fragmented volume-relative frequency distribution of rockfalls as input. This can be challenging at locations with scarce or nonexistent rockfall records and where block surveys are not feasible. The work in this paper shows that simple discrete fracture network realizations from structural mapping based on photogrammetric techniques can be used to reliably estimate rock fall block volumes. These estimates can be used for dimensioning rockfall protection structures in cases where data is scarce or not available. The methodology is tested at two sites in the Canadian Cordillera where limestone outcrops have been the source of recurrent rockfalls. The results suggest that fragmentation will largely tend to occur through weak planes and expansion of non-persistent discontinuities, while other block breakage mechanisms exert less influence in the fragmented volume-relative frequency distribution of rockfalls. Therefore, block volume distribution can be estimated using a simple discrete fracture network (DFN) with fully persistent discontinuities. Limitations of the methods are also discussed, as well as potential future research to address such limitations.
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