AimThe aim of the case-control study was to investigate if serum biomarkers indicative of vascular inflammation and endothelial dysfunction can predict the development of microalbuminuria in patients with diabetes mellitus type 2.MethodsAmong participants enrolled in the ROADMAP (Randomized Olmesartan And Diabetes MicroAlbuminuria Prevention) and observational follow-up (OFU) studies, a panel of 15 serum biomarkers was quantified from samples obtained at initiation of the study and tested for associations with the development of new-onset microalbuminuria during follow-up. A case-control study was conducted with inclusion of 172 patients with microalbuminuria and 188 matched controls. Nonparametric inferential, nonlinear regression, mediation, and bootstrapping statistical methods were used for the analysis.ResultsThe median follow-up time was 37 months. At baseline, mean concentrations of C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 16 (CXCL-16), transforming growth factor (TGF)–β1 and angiopoietin-2 were higher in patients with subsequent microalbuminuria. In the multivariate analysis, after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, glycated hemoglobin, duration of diabetes, low-density lipoprotein (LDL), smoking status, blood pressure, baseline urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), time of follow-up and cardiovascular disease, CXCL-16 (odds ratio [OR] 2.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.71–3.96), angiopoietin-2 (OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.14–1.98) and TGF-β1 (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01–1.04) remained significant predictors of new-onset microalbuminuria (P < 0.001). Inclusion of these biomarkers in conventional clinical risk models for prediction of microalbuminuria increased the area under the curve (AUC) from 0.638 to 0.760 (P < 0.001).ConclusionIn patients with type 2 diabetes, elevated plasma levels of CXCL-16, angiopoietin-2, and TGF-β1 are independently predictive of microalbuminuria. Thus, these serum markers improve renal risk models beyond established clinical risk factors.