The findings show high rates of new onset dementia, increasing markedly with age, and suggest rapid acceleration of one or more processes that is common in advanced age.
The contribution of vascular pathology to the manifestation of dementia and the importance of vascular risk to measures of cognitive function is being increasingly recognized. In particular, confirmation of this risk points towards approaches for prevention in large sections of the population. Information on determinants of incident dementia is increasing, but still relatively few studies of risk have been based on incident cases of dementia in very elderly populations. In this study based on incident cases of dementia in a population aged 75 and over, vascular risks were obtained from informants of the respondents with incident dementia. When compared with controls the factors associated with incident dementia were history of heart attack (odds ratio 2.9), transient ischaemic attacks (4.8), cerebrovascular accidents (3.4), family history of first-degree relatives with dementia (4.0), and occupational exposure to vibrating instruments (1.4). If only Alzheimer’s disease, clinically diagnosed, was included, diabetes (1.4) and a history of dementia in first-degree relatives (6.6) emerged. Thus, vascular risk continues to be of importance in the oldest age groups.
The striking rise in incidence rates of dementia in the very old appear to be due to Alzheimer's disease, while rates for vascular dementia remain relatively constant. These trends are particularly marked for minimal dementia, but emphasise the importance of Alzheimer's disease in the community as a cause of cognitive decline of all degrees.
During 1976, 80 patients with a primary depressive illness were selected from a consecutive series of referrals to the Royal Edinburgh Hospital for a short-term follow-up study. This paper concerns the 12-year longitudinal assessment of the survivors. During the follow-up, mortality risk for the sample was almost doubled. Of the series, 35% had experienced a recurrence within 2 years of the initial interview, and just over 60% within the entire study time of 12 years. The risk of recurrence was enhanced for those aged over 45 years at index, for those with a history of depressive disorder and for those who had not engaged in parasuicidal behaviour during the index episode. The observed effect of previous episodes was largely accounted for by age. The chance of recurrence was not affected by whether the treatment of the index episode included ECT, or by whether diagnosis was 'endogenous' or 'neurotic'. Application of the Lee-Murray outcome criteria showed that about one-third of the Edinburgh series experienced a very poor outcome. Results are presented concerning the prediction of long-term outcome as represented by the Depression Outcome Scale (DOS), a measure specially constructed for this study.
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