The report was declassified by the OECD Joint Working Party on Agriculture and the Environment in August 2020 and was prepared for publication by the OECD Secretariat. This report, as well as any data and any map included herein, are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area. The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law.

This paper is published on the responsibility of the Secretary General of the OECD. The opinions expressed and the arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of OECD countries. The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law. This report was declassified on the responsibility of the OECD Joint Working Party on Agriculture and the Environment (JWPAE) under the reference COM/TAD/CA/ENV/EPOC(2018)15/FINAL. Part 4, which contains information on bio-economy policies and practices by country, is not included in the published version of the report for reasons of size.

This paper was approved by the Joint Working Party on Trade and Environment in July 2020 and prepared for publication by the OECD Secretariat. This paper, as well as any data and any map included herein, are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area.The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law.

In China, the outbreak of the African Swine Fever is expected to result in a 27% drop in the production of pigmeat, the country's most consumed meat product. Using the OECD-FAO Aglink-Cosimo model, this paper examines the impact of this production shortfall on global markets for livestock products and animal feed over the short and the medium term. In particular, it compares outcomes if the changes induced by the ASF outbreak in China are temporary with outcomes that could result if current changes lead to a restructuring of Chinese protein demand.

No abstract